How Millennials View Real EstatesteemCreated with Sketch.

in #travel8 years ago (edited)

Do you remember the first time you logged onto a real estate listing website? How about when you booked a hotel or flight online? It was pretty obvious, by then, that technology was changing the game, but few really understood the extent to which it could. Sure, the internet made it easier to advertise properties far and wide, and international travel is getting cheaper and easier all the time, but is that the extent of it? It might seem so, as long as we only focus on the tools themselves, but there’s a lot more going on that’s not as immediately visible. These tools are affecting the people who use them – changing the way they think and the way they see the world around them.

As a child of the digital age, I’m here to testify on behalf of my generation that we aren’t just equipped with better tools, we’re a whole new breed of buyers – and we don’t think like our predecessors. My peers and I have been growing up in a world that never existed before. A disconnected observer might only see “kids these days” with their eyes glued to phone screens, but those of us that grew up alongside these evolving systems see an entire second plane of existence – parallel to the physical. Within this alternate dimension, we’re provided with immediate answers to all of our questions and instant gratification whenever desired. Our individual minds have been networked together in webs of continuous social interaction. Depending on our mood, we can mingle with a diverse cast of characters to challenge our beliefs, or we can retreat into ideological echo chambers to reinforce them.

Sure, this is all fantastic and of course the way people learn and communicate is changing with the times, but what does any of this have to do with land or houses or any other sort of property in a physical reality? After all, people will always need physical places to live and work, so how could technology have any serious impact on supply or demand in the marketplace? The answer to this lies in one major difference that’s found in young people today that wasn’t nearly as prevalent before. The shortest way of expressing it might be to say that we’re pursuing experiences much more than the acquisition of property. While our parents and grandparents sought to buy land, houses, and cars, my generation lives mostly in cities, rents modest housing, and gets around by way of public transit and ride services like Uber and Lyft. We just want to experience people, places, and things, and we tend not to care about exclusive possession of them. In other words, we want access, not ownership. We often prefer to share an experience with a thousand other people than keep it all to ourselves. We’d rather spend years living temporarily in different interesting locales than buy a single house of our own. We’d rather pay an infinite series of small fares or lease payments than buy a car that depreciates and incurs maintenance costs. We also want the freedom to upgrade regularly as new and better options become available. For many of my peers, their smartphone is their most important possession, and even that is something they want to trade in every other year for a newer model. While generations past saw real estate as an asset worth owning, we tend to see it as a sort of liability – a trap to be avoided. It could be said that this is because we value our time and freedom more than we value security. While our parents saw their house as an asset, we see it as a black hole that sucks up our money as well as an anchor that comes with responsibilities and requires care and attention.

It might seem that millennials are short-sighted and foolish, and many of them definitely are, but I think most of my peers would see it a bit differently. Take me, for example. I quit my job, sold all my stuff, and left Canada in 2013 in order to move to Chile. I was lured by an advertisement I saw on YouTube for a new community development that was supposed to be specifically geared towards people like me that value personal responsibility, economic productivity, and other such virtues derived from rational self interest. I honestly didn’t care where it was, geographically speaking. I wasn’t moving because of the land that was for sale, I was moving for the other people that were supposed to be there. To me, it represented a hotbed of potential mentors, investors, collaborators, and friends. I saw it very much as an investment in my own development, and not as the whimsical outburst of wanderlust that it might have looked like to someone else.

My peers and I have been getting wise to the scam of university degrees and student debt. We don’t want to be shackled to mortgages or any other such obligations that get in the way of our quests for personal growth and experience. It’s still a sort of investing, but it’s investment in ourselves rather than in physical possessions. We know that we’re fragile creatures and that life is blindingly short. We’ve watched our parents and grandparents spend the majority of their lives working to pay for their possessions, only to enjoy a few senior years at the end of the game before dying and leaving all those possessions behind. Frankly, the model of life that was demonstrated to us is entirely unacceptable, and we’re rejecting it en masse. We’d rather visit a hundred castles and die broke than work for decades just to eventually buy one of our own to leave behind.

Opinions about this shift will vary, but at the end of it all, we really just need to understand how to adapt so that we can all continue making intelligent decisions based on the new reality. So where is this all headed? What will grow in demand and what will fade away as this trend continues? Well, if I extrapolate the trend deep into the future, it leads me to something resembling The Matrix, where most people choose to live their lives in virtual reality, so for them, real estate needs will only consist of their coffin-sized interface pod… but obviously that’s still pretty far off and we still have a long transitional phase to consider in the meantime. Knowing what I know about my peers, I’m comfortable in asserting that unique hotels, resorts, tourist attractions, and intentional communities will grow in popularity while the white picket fences of suburbia start to rot.

More and more people are thinking and reaching beyond the borders of their countries of origin. The idea of being locked down to a single home is losing its appeal, and as time marches on, all forms of real estate will be thought of more and more as being destinations. No matter what sort of destination we develop, the successful ones will be the ones that stand out on social media and make people want to take selfies at them. Residential destinations, on the other hand, will have to offer even more in order to be “sticky.” They’ll have to not only attract people, but offer them a source of recurring value to retain them. Besides the attractive amenities and creature comforts, a community’s stickiness comes down to the culture. Scenery, architecture, weather, and convenience are all well and good, but at the end of the day, it’s the people that matter most. Whether it’s conscious or not, most people are constantly trying to find their tribe – those people that we don’t have to explain ourselves to or walk on eggshells around. We want to feel comfortable around our neighbors and know that if we need a helping hand, there are always plenty of them around us.

Three friends and I started developing an intentional community for entrepreneurs, and we’re constantly reminded of just how important our members are. Our land could be trashed by an earthquake and we’d be able to rebuild and persevere, but without the fantastic people we’ve gathered, we’d be dead in the water no matter what property we had to work with. In the years to come, I expect to be involved in many more projects like this, and it’s my sincerest hope that our work can serve as a good example for others to emulate elsewhere. I eagerly look forward to the day when I can wander the globe and explore all the different variations on this idea – and most of all, I look forward to meeting and getting to know the developers behind them.

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At about the time of the beginning of the USofA, land being owned was a rarity which only kings had access to before.

With land, you can grow food and live.
Without land, you die of starvation.
So, land is the most important thing ever.

Fast forward 200 years, and ...

  • We no longer own land, we rent it from the govern-cement.
  • It is a costly liability that is made more costly and more of a time sink by too many regulations.
  • It has to be insured (more cost)
  • You can't do what you want with it. (Raise a couple chickens in the city? The po-po will be at your door.)
  • Financialization has made the world pay more and more for the same thing. Mortgage means death note. (or you will pay until you are dead). 99% of a house price today is bank money owing more bank money, not actual value.
  • Our parents generation where taught that a house is an asset. Which was only sorta true when more kids were being born and more jobs were being created. Since the babyboom bust, and the exporting of jobs, only the liabilities of a house is left.
  • Houses built in america today are ugly, stupid and energy wasters. These will become intolerable when the next generation sees what can be.

The only thing left is to see how the new generation handles retirement.
We won't have to wait long, as the babyboomer generation is going to have their retirement accounts sucked away, and they will cry bloody-murder.
Something will change, but change to what?

Retirement was something to plan for because of the problem of fiat currencies losing their value over time and lack of saving (by buying houses, cars, etc). Both of these won't hold true for millennials who
1> would be holding steem power or other cryptocurrencies of better economic systems that don't rob them of the value that they saved
2> They are going to be light travellers, and frugal owners of goods instead of huge buyers.
3> It is not like they can't generate value on retirement. In fact, they would be able to generate a lot of value sitting at home on the internet through the knowledge gained by their vast experience which they have accumulated throughout their lives and who knows what else? In fact, retirement won't be a thing probably!

Very optimistic thinking. I think retirement planning is extremely important and it's underrated.

I believe that you are correct in your assessment of the situation.

There will probably be so many empty houses as the babyboomers start dying off that you will probably just walk into one and see if anyone lives there before setting up shop.

In the "working era" as opposed to the "knowledge era" people got too old to do their jobs.
And now, since all of our families have been broken up by the nuclear family -> single mother social plans, there is nothing of the old method which gave elderly their place in society.
The babyboomers gave birth to latch-key kids. Technically abandoned them, and now, when they are entering retirement, they will reap what they sow.

I think you are correct @rohansharan, but I do not know how things are going to transpire. That whirlwind that is coming for the babyboomers... but I can see that the millennials are already making a new way.

This is great - as someone that age-wise falls in between the old school mentality and the millennial mindset I always like to see if I'm gauging them correct.

The lifestyle mindset on millennial mindset is one that I share - however I also have the old mentality of owning and investing. The wave of experience/freedom mentality is great as it keeps demand strong for rental properties which provide the cash flow so I can live that type lifestyle even if I'm just slightly older than that generation. Glad to see these trends :-)

Absolutely. Rental properties are a great way to go. Down here in Valdivia, anyone can throw up a little shack and watch the university students and tourists fight for it :)

The next few decades are going to be really interesting. Overall this demographic + mindshift decline in real estate will be interacting will regional winners & losers based on climate & economic paradigm shifts. Us older 'nesters' need to keep this stuff in mind or prepare to be blindsided.

Thanks for a well written and thought provoking post.

What are those Bob Dylan lyrics -- "the times they are a changin"

The land is the true wealth!

Great post!

Brilliant analysis! I find myself in almost full agreement, though I think the aversion to ownership is a symptom of the toxic, lawless nature of government and regulation. I would like to strike a balance. To have a home where I can live securely, know my basic needs are met, and retreat to when I just want to relax or be alone, a place where I have no liabilities to anyone else and can do or be what I choose without outside interference. But this doesn't really exist in the US surveillance/police state. In some other countries, the sanctity of one's home is more respected right now, but I don't necessarily trust this condition to hold going into the future.

On the other hand, I also love to travel and experience and learn, to sample the infinite variety the world has to offer. I love to go and meet other, especially those with whom, as you pointed out, I don't have to walk on eggshells.

I want both, at different times. But I love way you describe the nomad millennial mindset in this article. Thank you for taking the time to crystallize it into text. :-)

you write beautifully and articulately and I loved reading about the different generational values, thanks for the good read

Tell me about Fort Galt? Is it a libertarian oasis or is it non-partisan?

Also what do you think about REITs?

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