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RE: WARNING: This might not be a trend!

in #trading5 years ago

Morning @honarparvar

Great read. It's surely difficult to spot the trend. Especially it must be very hard to figure out when trend is changing it's direction. Right?

However I'm not the biggest fan of TA. I think that we should only rely on results of it whenever market we're dealing with is fully matured and regulated.

Crypto isn't regulated. Crypto market isn't matured. Not to mention lack of liquidity and tons of uncontrolled "bad actors" still using this technology for their own purposes.

ps. why 38%?

Yours
Piotr

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I am not sure how to understand TA ... I am trying to learn more about it, but What I believe more in is fundamentals

Ratios of 38,2% and 61,8% are related to Fibonacci series and "golden ratio". Many processes naturally tend to follow the golden ratio. Human perception is somewhat skewed to consider it "natural". Here in terms of market changes, you could consider these levels as general-opinion "low risk" and "high risk" market reaction levels, just because there are people on the other side of the gambling table. Other people also look at charts and numbers, and other people as a group, tend to act according to golden ratio as well. Before 38% there's low chance of panic and change in trend, after 62% there's much higher chance. Of course, on the market any thing can happen, and it is NOT a rule to follow, it's just some estimation or guideline to keep in mind.

Late thank you for your valuable comment @ookamisuuhaisha

Appreciate it a lot.
Yours, Piotr

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