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RE: Disruption and the Gartner's curve 2016.

in #technology7 years ago

Nice point, what I do not agree is "If you take a step into the future, these technologies will change the world sooooo much, the world will be unrecognisable when compared with the world today:"

The point is, the world today would have been unrecognizable just a few years ago (we don't notice a change when is slow, and we get used to it), so what you say is not "in the future". Is here already. It doesn't looks like we imagined, (mostly because when you say "robot" people thinks to androids, while robots are quite different), but is here. Deflation of markets and shrinking of income are consequences, and the low-cost market is happening since years.

This is present, not future: the future will be even more different but... it's here already.

About the basic income, we have it already, we call it retirement. We are giving it to the old people. The best way to implement it, if you want the government to do it, is to lower the retirement age. So you free places for young people, and the demographic will do the job for you....

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Excellent remarks and points! :)

Indeed, the 'future' is already here, automation is taking away jobs already for years, but until now we were able to create other jobs instead. However, that time is no behind us. Robotica and especially the AI part will make human labour not required anymore at some point in time in the future. I tend to go with what Ray Kurzweil is predicting, singularity of AI and humans is in reach in coming decades.

Basic income: correct, partially at least. It is not only lowering the retirement age, but also to find new financial models that we can actually lower the retirement age without increasing the income taxes to the people still working.

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