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RE: Could this Letter Hold the Key to Satoshi's Wallet? A Letter form Marcel Mellish to Charlie Shrem
It's not necessary that the first one to move them would be their hacker. It could be Satoshi if he felt there was justifiable danger.
I think if ALL early unhashed public keys are broken, then one could assume something like a quantum computer broke them. If only Satoshi's coins (or those thought to belong to him) move, then it's probably a normal move.
If this is an encrypted gift to support a friend through difficult times, it would not be a hack to decipher it and take the money. This message was sent voluntarily.