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RE: Yet another puzzle - this time about the pending rewards
Right, the regularity is astonishing. But at the moment I don't have any idea... Maybe a closer look at the calculation algorithms can help to clarify...
I have two theories, but I don't like either of them.
1.) It could be a change in posting or voting behavior. Something we observed in past hardforks is that the rewards pool takes a while to reach its equilibrium state. I never understood the exact mechanics of it, but in the days after a couple of the hardforks, rewards dropped to near-zero while the blockchain was ramping up under the new rewards schedule. Apparently, user voting behavior effected that ramp-up. I think it would take a pretty massive change in voting/posting behavior to move it like that, though. Like multiple-whales worth of changes.
2.) It's still some sort of delayed reaction to the API problems in late August or early September. Rewards dropped, immediately after that (understandably), then rebounded to a higher level. Last week had some of the highest values in the SteemDB output. Maybe this is some-sort of counter-rebound while the rewards are trying to get back to equilibrium?
Feels like I'm grasping at straws, though. Both theories seem unlikely.
I did notice that the 12 lowest values available in that API (i.e. after August 21) were all recorded in the last week and 8 of the 10 highest were recorded between Oct. 22 and Oct. 24.
Meanwhile, today continued the trend. Oct. 31 and the first collections from Nov. 1 are even lower than the ones I posted yesterday.