Expected Value of Steem Monsters Daily Quests [5]
Hey guys! Welcome to another update on the expected value of rewards cards!
How it Was Calculated
Before calculating, I had to use the assumption that you can sell your card at the lowest price per BCX. The drop rates used were from @yabapmatt so we know that it's accurate.
Firstly, I calculated the average cost of cards per rarity, then I multiplied it by the chance of it being opened. I added these up for all the rarities and then we have the expected value of each reward card earned. After that, I just had to simply multiply that value by how many cards you earn from each rank!
Today's Data
The data is sorted in rarity, from lowest to highest. Then the average value of each rarity is calculated, which is multiplied by its chance to drop. This is all then added together to form the expected value of each reward card.
Today's Average Value: $0.0906
Expected Value of Each Rank
- Note: this is assuming you stay at the same rank for the whole season, each season has 14 days and you complete all daily quests in the 14 days. Therefore, this estimate is quite high and realistically you aren't going to earn this much.
Price History
- 04/02: $0.0941
- 07/02: $0.1051
- 11/02: $0.0939
- 17/02: $0.0699
- 11/03: $0.0906
this picture would be perfect if somehow one could add to this cost of a deck that is able to do quests with each league.
Sure, I'll try to add something like this. I know my friend is in gold and he has spent around $400 on the game and has sold about $50 worth of cards already. However, he got there by buying packs, which is rather inefficient. It is much more worth just buying cards from the market!
Nice work.
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Keep up the great statistic its very important to see for all players what they are able earn on Steemmonsters just by playing Rank mode.
This does not include any earning by Tournaments, Season Booster Pack rewards and possible rewards from card trading.
Maybe you could post your this Excel Sheet also in Discord "General" and I hope the official SM account will use this data as well to show that even low ranking players can earn some on SM.