Hey guys! Welcome to another update on the expected value of rewards cards!
How it Was Calculated
Before calculating, I had to use the assumption that you can sell your card at the lowest price per BCX. The drop rates used were from @yabapmatt so we know that it's accurate.
Firstly, I calculated the average cost of cards per rarity, then I multiplied it by the chance of it being opened. I added these up for all the rarities and then we have the expected value of each reward card earned. After that, I just had to simply multiply that value by how many cards you earn from each rank!
Below is an example of the data (not updated):
The data is sorted in rarity, from lowest to highest. Then the average value of each rarity is calculated, which is multiplied by its chance to drop. This is all then added together to form the expected value of each reward card.
Today's Average Value: $0.0699
Expected Value of Each Rank
- Note: this is assuming you stay at the same rank for the whole season, each season has 14 days and you complete all daily quests in the 14 days. Therefore, this estimate is quite high and realistically you aren't going to earn this much.
- 04/02: $0.0941
- 07/02: $0.1051
- 11/02: $0.0939
- 17/02: $0.0699