I'm listening to msp-waves right now where vadenburg is talking about how people below the superlinear-linear transition will earn a little less and those above will earn a little more.

The transition point is somewhere around 16 STEEM worth of rewards.

One of these days I will sign up to the STEEM SQL service so I can do quick research, but my guess is the VAST majority of accounts earn far less than that.

Regardless, the HF looks like it is pretty much a done deal, so we will see how it shakes out.