Why the Steem price is decreasing, people lose faith in Steemit and @stellabelle's rant - The Secret Masterplan is unraveling
Throughout reading this post keep this question in mind:
What has and still is Steemit's biggest problem?
I've been clenching my brain for the past 2 days trying to understand what the heck is happening to Steemit. I've been on board for about 2 months now, every day, voting, engaging on Steemit.chat, posting, and the sh*t has not hit the fan like it did in the last week. Why the heck is this happening?
Here's a couple things that ticket it off for me:
- @dantheman has posted about 1h ago (about a new feature introduction...sigh) after a pause of over 1 week!!! He may be busy, but he can't be too busy to do a post and he was very active in the past. Steemit is his baby, yet he's ignoring it? It doesn't make any sense.
- People keep posting rants about losing faith in Steemit and more recently encouraging Synereo like it's a breath of fresh air compared to Steemit, yet none of the whales are taking serious actions about it. Respectable community members are at each other's throats and the whales seem like they are actually encouraging the actions through upvotes when in the past they were actually downvoting them. Also, whales have suddenly stopped upvoting comments as often as they were, like they want to discourage people engagement or something...
- Some weird accounts have surfaced (thanks @klye for uncovering them), brand new accounts that are being pumped by some whales with over 1k rewards from the first post and continuing with each new post. WTH? Who's this lucky? Let me tell you: nobody!
- And this one really was the drop that spilled the cup: One of Steemit's most epic ambassadors and most active community orca, @stellabelle, is now throwing everything under the bus and moving to Synereo? Bashing Steemit, Dan, etc.? That doesn't make any sense! Synereo doesn't even exist, who does that??
Coming back to our question:
What is Steemit's biggest, most serious problem?
Answer: Power distribution. The fact that 9x% of Steem is held by a handful of people. This creates an unbalanced reward system and has been bleeding the community dry from the start.
What are the options to balance the power?
Whale, whale, whale... more whales, right? Becoming a whale can happen in two ways:
- By earning rewards and Powering Up but this will take ages.
- By buying Steem but even though it's low, it's still considered high for people to jump in and buy it.
So it seems we're in a pickle, as the system continues to be unbalanced and the actions to balance it are unlikely to create any correction soon, unless...
The Master Plan is unraveling
Increasing rewards is impossible as there's a limited number of Steem allocated to post rewards on a daily basis. Then what if say, the price of Steem would be low, so low, that people would find it really convenient to buy it and Power Up. The latter seems like the option but for that to happen the price of Steem would need to be really low. Like .05$-.10$ low.
How can the price of Steem get that low?
First and most unlikely option would be through a huge dump. That will never happen as everything would crumble irreparably.
But what if the price of Steem can be lowered organically. Are you starting to see where I'm going with this?
The story that was really mindblowing for me was @stellabelle's post yesterday. It's really impossible for someone like her to turn their back on Steemit after investing so much into it. Unless it's been intended to look like that. Unless it's rigged.
What if a general chaos can be instilled in the ecosystem, people complaining would not be stopped anymore (whale downvoting), shitposting is encouraged and driven to the Trending page, less communication from the whales (no comments/answers unless something really hits the fan, like @stellabelle's rant that made @ned comment), developers seem to not add features that are most important to everyone etc. Would that drive the Steem price down? Yes. Would a low Steem price solve Steemit's biggest problem? Yes.
So you see, what we now regard as the worst thing that can happen to Steemit is actually a very smart, elaborate plan to actually save Steemit. Sometimes, if you love something, you have to let it go and that's what the whales do with their Steem, they let it go to others, almost free, so that Steemit may be saved!
A Doube-Edged sword
So the plan to balance the Power on Steemit is working as Steem has gotten to about 0.70$. I know it rose a little today, but that is just fo' the show I believe.
Say we get to the point where 1 Steem = 0.05$. The other sharp side of the of the Masterplan sword could be that people could be long gone and nobody will be interested in Steemit anymore when the price reaches that low point. So, even if it will be cheap, no one will care anymore about Steem, Steemit et all and it will go to waste.
People have gone past one weird Steemit episode when the Steem was distributed right at the beginning and some have said it was rigged and never stands a chance to succeed. Would they be allowed another pass?
Fingers crossed this will be a soft landing as Steemit is a great place for all of us and it would be a shame to loose it.
PS. To prove the points above, you'll see that no whale will upvote this post, as that would mean they agree with the theory exposed :)
I know it's hard to comprehend, but maybe you are overreacting. Either that, or you are admitting to being duped. Price fluctuates, big deal. I'm not upvoting your post because it doesn't offer tangible facts. You literally took the random fragments of stories and presented the most negative interpretation of each. Have you seen the shit Larimer has taken over the years? All he's ever done is attempt to create interesting, innovative one-of-a-kind platforms that push the limits of what people think is possible. I'll cap this off with an unfollow.
@billbutler
It seems a bit harsh to publicly unfollow someone because you disagree with them. To be fair I don't know much about the technical side of Steemit, I just write amazing stories... lol
So when I read this I thought wow that is really interesting, but then I read your rebuttal and realized there was another side to the story. I understand that the PS in this article was a little weird, implying that whales must upvote this article or it's true, but I still don't think it merits a public shaming.
Are you interpreting my above comment as a public shaming? I'd be curious to know which words I used to shame @anduweb. I followed @anduweb previously for the same reason I follow anyone: I enjoyed his posts. This isn't a question of me agreeing with him or not. This is simply a personal preference to not be exposed to what I interpret as grandstanding.
@billbutler
Yes, I intemperate this line "I'll cap this off with an unfollow." as a public shaming.
@gonzo: Thank you for taking a stance against a potential community abuse. It shows you really care about Steemit and I highly appreciate it! That is why I upvoted your comments. I also appreciate you work btw :)
Ftr I am a believer that words have the effect the receiver makes of them and I'm open to all ideas and the capping off wasn't much imo. I could be more offended by being called a puppet, trumpeting another's message and bashing Steemit which I strongly disagree with. But again, everyone can have their opinion.
@billbutler: It's a free community and you can choose to follow anyone for whichever reason. I'm sorry to see that one of my opinions has caused this effect though, but I will continue doing what I did until now and also, once in a while speak my mind about the state of Steemit.
On the topic of my post, I believe @dantheman or any whale could have just commented something like: 'you're full of BS @anduweb' and the whole thing would have been killed in it's infancy and I would be apologizing and pinky promising to keep my neurons on a leash to not bark out stuff like that in the future. It's that simple.
@anduweb
Thank you for the compliment :)
Good to know.
I admit that the PS is a bit of a hook but that shouldn't stop anyone from voting.
I'm saying they will upvote if they agree which they don't. Thing is, even if they upvote and they don't agree just say so in a comment.
Whale and witness engagement through posting and commenting is something I would like to see more and believe would add much value.
It's not hard to comprehend at all, I am overstating a scenario that would put some sense into what is currently happening around here. I need to have a solution, an explanation, otherwise I would go crazy.
I assure you I am not being duped (e.g. a person who is easily deceived or is used to carry out the designs of another). I have an opinion and wanted to bring it out, nothing wrong with that I believe. It's not just the price fluctuation, I'm not naive to look only at that, there were multiple dots connected in my scenario above and the price fluctuation is one of the least of worries. Steem going down is rather natural as it was hyper inflated in July.
One thing I'm trying to emphasize in my post is that Steem price going down is a good thing as it allows a much quicker Steem (Power) distribution than through the rewards system. I'm trying to get a positive aspect of all the negatives we've seen in the past week and thought of the above scenario.
I have not and will not lose faith in Steem(it) or Dan & Co., my consistent contribution on Steemit confirms it, have a look.
I respect Dan a lot even though I do not know him personally. I've seen much crap being thrown at him reading around but have never submitted to it and I'm sorry people do that to him. He has created something interesting, innovative and one-of-a-kind and that is Steem (& Steemit & Graphene & BitShares previously) which I fully back.
I see he upvoted your comment so he expressed his opinion with regards to the scenario I laid out. Fair enough. I know we owe him a lot for creating this ecosystem but I also think there are things that can and should be done better transparency wise. When left in the dark one might come up with various scenarios about what one thinks is happening. We're not sheep to blindly follow a shepherd, we think, create and engage and we need to know what is happening with all our invested work. It's something I think can be easily done by Steemit, Inc. I don't think it's something we should sweep under the take a risk carpet.
I'm sorry you decided to unfollow me due to 1 opinion you disagree with though there might have been many you agreed to before choosing to follow me initially. I appreciate you taking the time to read my post and comment. I'm sorry to see you go.
PS: I'll keep being your follower btw.
funnily enough, for my last 14 posts, you are my MVP (Most Loyal Player) with 7 upvotes, according to @roelandp's SteeM.V.P. :)
First of all, steem just jumped in value today (more than +25%), so this shows how quickly it can recover.
Second of all, my last blog post explains how we're only 2 months into steem being released. Of course its going to be a roller coaster ride as this system improves.
I can't believe how many doom and gloom people are out there.
Please do read my blog. Don't upvote it, just read it.
Titled: IS EVERYONE NUTS? Steem and Steemit are both BRAND NEW. Stop worrying about market value right now.
Oh and a roller coaster has it been so far. I agree, and I also think we haven't seen all of it just yet.
I disagree that my post is a doom-ing one if that's what you meant. It's a potential scenario that emphasizes the actual beneficial factor of Steem dipping and how all this negativity (that you're also mentioning about in your post) is actually beneficial for us in the end.
No, the doom and gloom people in some of these comments below, and some of the doom and gloom people that are going to get attracted to your post is who I was referring to.. Not you @anduweb.
@anduweb
I am 20 hours late to read your post so ... only 35 votes and $0.69 at the time. A misery for such a significant post. This is Steemit's biggest problem - being invisible.
Apart from the grotesquely skeeved power distribution, of course.
Yes, I suspect too that stellabelle's post was intentionally provoking. Maybe was she a part of the game, maybe not. A hammer doesn't need to know why is it hitting the nail.
I hope that my words above won't be taken as an accusation. It's all just a wild guess.
Your explanation is a sort of the conspiracy theory. I believe in conspiracy theories :)
Another thing I believe in is organised and orchestrated chaos. Systems are intentionally put out of balance to rearrange themselves and reach different balance. Until the next trigger...
We'll just have to wait and see. We don't have much to say. OK, we do have but nobody is listening. It is like with every other sociopolitical system - the rulers are living on another planet.
So far I have not being able to make much money as well. But I hope that my post will inspire and motivate others. I am also to some extend discouraged but I am still haning in there and for the time being still have faith in Steemit
mmm, I'd say stop thinking about the money and just have a go at it, throw it your best shot(s) and see how it goes. Money might come later but they don't have to be the main driver for a comunnity.
Source
That's good attitude. Hang in there, success is round the corner
Lose not loose, you should fix the title it will get you more views with no grammar errors.
Spell Checker: https://www.jspell.com/public-spell-checker.html
Thanks for pointing it out! It's 2am for me :)
I pasted the whole thing into a word and corrected a few more. Much appreciated!
Also remove the anarchy tag or someone may flag you for tag abuse.
you think so? the definition of an anarchy is:
I'd call the Masterplan I described above a wild behavior :D
I'll remove it if anyone takes an action like that. Thanks man!
Steem is crap and does not work, I have better things to do than writing articles/post to help them getting rich from it.I have decided to quit as none of my posts were even seen and no steem points while others were making thousands of points on mediocre work. I appreciate your attempt at figuring it out but I think you are wasting your time as this whole scheme is only intended to make a select few money and the rest of us will never see any rewards.
Well, it's good that you are still commenting on posts. The underlying factor here is motivation and trust decision. I've been there, started just like any other person with 3 Steem in the wallet, I've gone through all the phases, including rage quit, but then I decided i want to invest my time nevertheless and after a while, I changed my view back. It also paid off a bit through rewards based on my continuous engagement. I believe in Steem(it). You're entitled to your own opinion, off course.
@bayviewmobile
When I first started posting to Steemit I knew I was going to fail, but I kept posting because failure is a part of learning and most successful people fail eight times before they become successful. Then I wrote a five part series that took 4 days to write each part that made a grand total of one dollar and I was finally a success, not because of the dollar that I made.
It was because I also received 49 followers and I learned how to write for Steemit and how not to write for Steemit. This place takes time, very few regular people without a following stroll in and make thousands anymore. You need to build a following in order to succeed here, just like every other paid blogger on other sites and every youtuber.
I've made a few hundred bucks here purely from content creation and community engagement. Granted, it's not thousands of dollars, but considering I invested 0 USD in the venture, all of my gains have been profit. I don't really see it man. Sorry.
It's OK, just one of my crazy thoughts/scenarios I guess. I agree that one can bring nothing and get something out of Steemit. Sometimes quite a lot out of Steemit. It's awesome and has been one of the most important aspects that promoted it since day one.
If you have anything saved extra (SBD or from outside of Steemit), I think you should hold on to it as you might want to actually invest when Steem dips more. That way you'll gain much more influence than the potential rewards.
Well, given that I won't have any funding to do so until at least tomorrow, I may be waiting for a bit. So if Steem doesn't jump in price dramatically in the next 48-72 hours, I think I'll be in a decent position to maximize my investment. :D
:D, don't take my advice but I'd wait a little more. Set a target when you want to do the buy in (way lower than what it is right now like .50$ or something wilder if you like the risks) and stick to it.
But a new navigation bar was just added to steemit.com, and the price of Steem is rising. I don't understand what you are talking about. Are we using the same platform?
Luke, one swallow doesn't make a summer man. Te promotion thing is meh...let's see if it works and it's hype as we haven't seen anything added in a few weeks now.
Steem rising? Let me ask you back, are we looking at the same charts? Today STEEM has risen a tad after weeks of downtrends.
I don't see down trending STEEM as a "bad thing" by default. But I'm willing to put forth an effort to see your perspective, hence my upvote and comment.
It's not a bad thing at all, it's a huge opportunity for us to step in and invest more and grow our stake and influence in Steem(it) through Power Up. Soon it'll hit the “barrier to entry” for many imo.
Thank you for your vote and comments!
There is no conspiracy with @stellabelle - the price has been falling for sometime, her post was genuine and from the heart.
The current value of Steem is down to many factors including the fact that the previous peak price was a massive overvaluation. Now the price is correcting.
I wouldn't mind if it hits 5 cents or lower because it gives me more opportunity to increase my SP.
Yes investing in Steem or any other crypto is risk it always will be but no risk=no reward.
With great Steem Power comes great responsibility. I've always said that. Many Steemians are looking up to her and her post hurt the overall image of Steemit imho. She should have known and expected that and maybe think twice before pressing the Post button. Yes, we're all about obliterating censorship and expressing our opinions, but when you're part of an ecosystem and have the power to influence it at that level, you should live up to a better expectation I believe.
I'm not trying to come up with a conspiracy, it's just an opinion when connecting a few dots. Could be completely unrealistic, it's still an opinion.
As all the information is public in the blockchain I think it can be seen that I've always reinvested and believe in Steemi(it) through continuous contributions. I've decided to take my risk here already. If Steem gets that low I definitely wouldn't mind it as I would be bringing in extra capital and Powering Up like crazy.
@anduweb
You have some good points (hence my upvote) but there is way too much tinfoil around them. I am not a fan of speculation.
I fully understand that @kyriacos, and appreciate the upvote even though it doesn't seem likely this is a real scenario. It looks dirty on the outside, but even if true, it accomplishes a great goal: amore balanced Steem distribution.
And hell, letting your mind run wild gets you scenarios like this :)
I think stellabelle just had a hard fall from the 1K+ ceiling. Synereo is not even alpha yet and it has been progressing way too slow. Let's see the launch first.
the mind is a tricky thing to control. it can be your best friend or your worst enemy.
it's an interesting theory. let's see how it goes.
:) Thanks. It's being dismissed generally but I'd still hold a 0.01% odd just in case