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RE: Curation by Prediction Market Proposal
If predictions must be entered within 30 minutes of posting, what happens when one of your favorite content creators is on the opposite side of the world and consistently posts in the middle of the night while you're sleeping?
A bot could allow you to up-vote and make a prediction.
In this case you would be risking your reputation when your bot increases your miss-prediction rate. This will hurt your potential curation rewards for things you are personally predicting.
My initial thought is that something like two hours might be optimal time. 30 minutes is little bit too short.
Why do you have to make money curating his content? By the time you wake up everyone will already know the expected value of his post. In fact, others will have made their prediction expecting your vote to be added 12 hours later. The purpose of curation rewards is to quickly filter content as it is submitted.
The purpose is also to endorse earlier votes. Early votes are voting on the post. Later votes are voting on the post and on earlier votes. That's why I suggest rewards for downvoting, but even the lack of an endorsement is sort of a punishment. The system is effectively zero sum to a large extent. If your early upvote fails to gain endorsements and other upvotes gain endorsements, then you are losing value even without having downvotes (facebook like or nothing model).
Q: what happens if you are sleeping
Change your sleep schedule (or be a passive reader). Look everyone can't be everywhere all the time. People on the same side of the earth will tend to vote on each others stuff more than people on the other side. That is unavoidable and not a problem.
BTW: I had to paraphrase the question because quoting it using markdown is broken.
How is it broken? Looks fine to me.
I got some kind of diff-ish looking tags visibly displayed on the web page. I'll experiement with some test/spam posts and see if i can reproduce it