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RE: The Witness (Circle Jerk) n-Person Prisoner's Dilemma, and the richlist Witness Votes - Some solid numbers for you to digest
See my reply to @timcliff regarding my proposed model and justifications for altering the rules for witnesses and voting.
Yes, it is a popularity contest. All elections are. The voting for assigning rewards is a popularity contest.
Doing philanthropic work for the community is also part of the popularity contest. I just think that while you are powering down, you should not get paid for being a witness, and that when you are a witness, you cannot influence the witness election directly, with an ever growing stake.