SBD massive Breakout | 2017 all over again?

in #steem4 years ago

The Bittrex mobile App helps me to keep an eye on what is hot and not at any given moment in time. The Markets section of this app list not only the last 5 viewed token pairs, but also provides a list of the top 10 winners and losers. The winners list is shown by default and with a simple finger tab, the list of losers is shown.

A few days ago it showed SBD (Steem Backed Dollar) right at the top with a massive gain of over 200%. I still had a few of these tokens, and decided to set some sell orders of which some got a hit.

Still owning a few more of these tokens, now it's time to decide what next sell order to set.

Reviewing the history of SBD, we can see easily enough it got to all time high in the last bull run of BTC and Alts back in end of 2017. More than 14 US Dollar at its peak (see last chart in this post). At the time of writing, SBD is something like 5 only.

Could SBD raise to new all time highs in terms of US dollar value? Who knows! Hopefully :)

Analysing further the situation around SBD, it becomes clear the South Koreans are the source of this breakout; Like back in 2017. Bittrex is just following what happens on Upbit, at least thats what I can make out of what I was seeing on the screens about 18 hours ago and what I was seeing just an hour ago.


image: SBD/KRW chart from Upbit

Checking the SBD/KRW charts, SBD value will need to increase another 5 times to reach its new all time high in terms of the local South Korean currency. That'll be something like 25 US dollars, instead of the 14 US Dollars. If that will happen, I should not have sold any SBD :) But who knows?! Crypto is pretty unpredictable :) Maybe the Koreans will drop out of SBD soon and the value will retrace to what it is most of the time, around 1 US Dollar.


image: SBD/BTC chart from Bittrex

Along with the breakout of SBD, Steem is finding its way up; Much less so than SBD. Likely because the liquidity of Steem is also much larger than SBD. HIVE is going up as well, but much less so compared to Steem.

This SBD breakout tells me, Steem is far from dead. Regardless what the HIVE people trying to tell us, Steem being centralised and all, it doesn't seem to matter for (short term) traders. This is proof to me, the whole debate about how decentralised a blockchain should be to gain value in the market, is less important than many in crypto space let us believe. Sure, I do understand decentralisation is key to be able to trust a blockchain for all sort of crucial services we like to use. However, it doesn't seem to play an important role in crypto bull seasons. As a matter of fact, Steem is doing better than HIVE, and Steem Backed Dollar is doing much better than HIVE Backed Dollar.


image: SBD/US Dollar/BTC chart from CoinGecko

We all know the South Korean crypto community is large and super active. HIVE is also listed with Upbit; Tick in the box. But HIVE is doing much less than Steem, and HBD much much much less than SBD.

At time of publication, I wonder what SBD will do. It just dipped down the 3 US dollar mark and may continue its path towards around the 1 US dollar mark. Or maybe it'll get another boost... Who knows :)

NJOY

all images by edje unless stated otherwise

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This is fun: user: gareamel gave me a downvote... 'Why' is the question. Not that this user is so powerful with its 2SP or something. And the user is super quiet in terms of content; Nothing posted while in existence for 11 months. Euhmm, interesting!

EDIT1: gretmul joined the downvote party... They having fun! LOL :)
EDIT2: the third joined the party pdicli... Its getting Hilarious! LOL :)

Funny enough the downvotes are not shown in Steemit UI... They are on the blockchain though: https://steemd.com/@edje

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