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RE: Most promoted posts aren't profitable
thank both of you for data analysis. but my opinion is at this stage where payouts are mostly determined by small group of whales. it is very difficult to find stable casual relationship behind this. hence, a minor factor like promotion fee, is even less unlikely to succeed. but statistical results are important for stimulating insights.
The relationship you're referring to is whether promoting the post had any affect on the reward, right? If that's the case I agree, there are a lot of other factors at play (e.g. bot lists, whale curation lists, being a friend of a whale).
Doesn't the conclusion still stand, however: users are paying too much for promoting their content?
maybe things will change after Tuesday