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RE: Post Activity Report 22nd Aug - 28th Aug

in #stats6 years ago (edited)

Good morning (here) @eroche! Via a resteem from @paulag seeing your post, so "dropping in" to say how much I appreciated its contents.

"... quite a large drop from 154k last week to 135k this week ..."

While wondering how our Steem blockchain is doing through the recent "tanking" of the crypto market, this quantifies its impact on Steem.

Or does it?

As a numbers guy myself, I always wonder "what's behind" the numbers. As a suggestion for the future, here's a couple of ideas:

  1. Create a "rolling average" view of posts. In my industry, we use a 12-month rolling average to "smooth out" seasonal differences. Don't know what the equivalent time frame would be in Steem, but perhaps you or others will know.

  2. "Map" the rolling averages against a rolling average of perceived contributing factors, e.g. Steem's price and / or the overhaul market cap of the crypto asset class.

"... from 27k unique accounts ..."

Wish there were a way to know how many people this represents, but don't know if that is even possible ...

Hope this helps. A big thanks too, from your reference in your post, to @arcange for creating the tools to make this discussion possible.

Resteemed. Have a great day!

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This snapshot is showing a weeks worth of posts, I agree comparing just two weeks week on week does not signify a trend, but over time a trend does emerge.

We have been consistently seeing a downward trend for the past few weeks, and this week the drop was quite stark.

Thanks for the suggestions on using rolling averages to smooth out seasonality. These are useful suggestions and worth considering. Ill have to figure out an appropriate time frame to smooth over if I show this. I want to keep the snapshots to a weeks timeframe to keep the analysis easy to access so I will see if I can build in some sort of running average overlay to the charts.

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