Betting Predictions NFL 2018 - Week 9
Results of NFL 2018 Betting Predictions:
Spread: 46-57 (44.6%)
High / Low: 52-49 (51.5%)
Fixed: 7-1 (87.5%)
Surprise: 3-3-1 (50.5%)
Parlay: 3-5
Trilay: 0-8
Super Teaser: 4-4
Raiders in 49ers (-3) (46.5)
The 49ers are in doubt as to whether they will play C.J. Beathard on Thursday, so Nick Mullens would be the starter, of whom we know nothing. I would be left out with this game, but in the case of Nick Mullens playing, I think the Raiders win in a game of few points.
Forecast: 49ers 17, Raiders 20 - LOW
Chiefs (-8.5) in Browns (51.5)
There is a lot of uncertainty on the side of the Browns with a new head coach and offensive coordinator, and the issue remains that they have had four overtime games of which they lost two and tied one. I never like the "new coach" factor to bet against them, but I think the Browns do not have much to answer to the Chiefs.
Forecast: Browns 26, Chiefs 36 - ALTAS
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Steelers in Ravens (-3) (47.5)Since the last game in this match I commented as always are very, very closed games. Since 2010 (in the matches within the M & T Stadium), the Ravens have won 5 of 8 and although four times the game has been decided by three points or less, of the other four the Ravens have won 3. In addition, the Steelers they are 1-5 against the spread in their last 6 games against the Ravens.
The Ravens at home are a completely dominant defense: they only allow 13.7 points, while the Steelers are a great offensive but outside the home they are less dominant.
Forecast: Ravens 24, Steelers 20 - LOW
Jets in Dolphins (-3) (45)
Elijah McGuire is expected to return to drive a lackluster offense by the Jets, and the Dolphins allow 143 yards per game, the worst record in the league. Either way, it's hard for the Jets to cover visitors, and the Dolphins are 3-1-1 against the Jets considering the spread. Also, Miami has been a good place: it is 3-1 against the spread at home and 1-0 when they are favorites at home.
Forecast: Dolphins 17, Jets 10 - LOW
Lions in Vikings (-5) (50)
Ok, the Lions already have "Snacks" Harrison, but I already made the mistake of supporting their defense for that last week. The key to this game is whether the Vikings can run the ball comfortably, which is likely, the air play will open without problems. The only thing I do not like is that the Lions are 3-0 against the spread of visitors, but I'm still going to tilt Vikings. Key statistics: The Vikings only allow 25.58% of conversions in third down.
Buccaneers in Panthers (-7) (54.5)
The Panthers are quietly an amazing team at home. 3-1 against the spread 4-0 in direct result, but also score 29 points per game of premises and allow 20.2. In contrast, the Bucs defense is the worst away from home with 39.8 points allowed.
Forecast: Panthers 29, Buccaneers 21 - BAJAS
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Falcons in Redskins (-1.5) (47.5)
My intuition tells me that the Falcons could take this game, but all the numbers tell me otherwise. The strength of the Falcons is the offense without a doubt, but they only score 14.5 points when they are visitors. In contrast, the Redskins are fourth in defense when they play at home (13 points per game allowed) and it is likely that Adrian Peterson will be successful against that flimsy Falcons defense that allows 122 yards per game on the road as visitors. The Redskins are 3-1 against the local spread.
Forecast: Redskins 20, Falcons 18 - LOW
Bears (-8.5) in Bills (37)
I do not like this line. It is important to always think about the situation that if this game were played in Chicago, the line would be 14.5, and I would not bet it. The Bills are a disaster, but in the end their defense left Tom Brady without scoring.
Forecast: Bills 10, Bears 17 - LOW
Chargers in Seahawks (-2) (48)
The Seahawks are always famous for dominating at home, but the number that took me out of my box in this game was the difference in net yards per play. The Chargers have +1.05, one of the best numbers in the league, while the Seahawks are at +0.16. In addition, the fact that the Chargers are really accustomed to playing as a visitor always serves. That we can relate to that not even when they play in Los Angeles feel like the local team.
Forecast: Seahawks 24, Chargers 27 - ALTAS
Texans in Broncos (-1.5) (46) The Broncos at home are always a tough nut to crack, but the Texans are 6-1 against the spread a week before resting, and the Broncos are only 1-2-1 against the spread. spread at home this year. The Texans' defense has taken an impressive impetus, and in fact is the best defensive in terms of points per game (14.3) and fourth in yards per game (286) in the last three weeks.
Forecast: Broncos 14, Texans 20 - BAJASRams in Saints (-1.5) (60)
The two best teams in the league at this time face each other in what is the match of the week. The Saints unlike what we might think have not been a good "cover" of premises (1-2 against the spread at home), although they have been effective in direct result (10-2 in their last 12 at home). The Rams have also not greatly impacted the spread or visitors (2-2) or after a victory (3-4).
The Saints have been impressive against the race, and although stopping Todd Gurley is practically impossible, I think they can limit their numbers a bit. In contrast, the Rams are the 17th team against the race when they play for visitors, so that powerful New Orleans running game can run without problems.
Forecast: Saints 32, Rams 30 - ALTAS
Packers in Patriots (-5.5) (56.5)
The Patriots come from a victory that cost them work in MNF, much more than expected. At home they are a care team, but if I learned something last week, it is that when Aaron Rodgers has more than 3 points in his favor it is difficult not to cover. 5.5 points are enough and the Packers urge them to win; otherwise they could have the opportunity to win their division, they come with much more urgency.
Forecast: Patriots 30, Packers 32 - ALTAS. SURPRISE OF THE WEEK
Titans in Cowboys (-6.5) (41)
Let's be careful with this line. The Cowboys are a much better team at home than visitors, but the Titans have an acceptable defense that can limit the running game (they only allow 99.5 yards per game when they play for a visit). We know that if Ezekiel Elliot is limited, the Cowboys can suffer to advance the ball. I think it's going to be a fast game without many points.
Forecast: Cowboys 13, Titans 9 - LOW
The Super Weekly Teaser
The teaser is a bet in which we must join two teams or more in the same ticket, but the house gives us better scores to increase the possibility of completing it, having a payment similar to a simple bet.
In this case, we will play a teaser of two teams, with 6 points for our usual lines. That is to say: If the STEELERS have +5.5 this week, when choosing them we could use them with +11.5.
THIS WEEK: Packers +11.5 (regular line +5.5) and Vikings +1 (regular line +5)
Betting forecast summary NFL 2018 - Week 9
Fixed of the week: Vikings
Surprise of the week: Packers
Top 5: Vikings, Packers, Texans, Panthers, Saints.
Parlay: Vikings, Packers.
Trilay: Vikings, Packers, Titans.
Super Teaser: Packers and Vikings.