Sports betting - a guide to getting started

Bet, it's pretty simple. Yet there are two categories of betting: winning bets and losing bets.

When you start, it is normal that you fall into the second category, and that is why the team of Techniques Paris Sportifs offers some tips and rules to get started.

1. A bet remains a bet

You must be aware that when you bet there is always a risk of losing, even if you have a perfect analysis of the matches and even if the odds are very low. You can never be 100% sure.

2. The Bankroll

The Bankroll is your online account at your bookmaker, there you will transfer money to bet. You have to know how to manage it so you do not lose big. If you limit transfers, you are guaranteed not to lose everything at once.

3. Do not try exotic games

Although some odds are more appealing for the less known championships, you have to be very careful about the surprises they generate.

4. Do not over combine

The more you combine, the higher the odds go up but, and it makes sense, the chances of losing too. Do not be blinded by greed.

5. Know how to lose

When you lose, you need to know why you lost before making a bet. You must not want to retry at all costs.

6. Analyze the matches

Do not bet impulsively. Before every bet, you always have to analyze matches (teams, previous results, form, home / away ...).

7. External factors

Do not forget the external factors that can be very important (public, climate, date, stage, state of the ground ...).

8. Favorite team

Never bet on your favorite team because your analysis will always be wrong.

9. Choose your bookmaker

Before you get started in sports betting, choose your bookmaker. Odds, bonuses and offers are very different according to the bookmaker.

A technique to know, the Value Bet

The first among the techniques and tips in Sports Betting is the Value Bet. To be a winning bettor in the long run you have to play almost exclusively on the Value Bet. This notion is decisive because it forces the bettor to think about his bets. One of the biggest mistakes of beginner bettors is to bet on instinct, without real thought. Trying to determine if a bet is a Value Bet requires the player to mathematically estimate the odds of success of the event.

Value Bet Definition

A bet is a Value Bet if the probability of success is greater than the profitability of the bet. Let's take a simple and well known example, the game of Pile or Face. On a non-tricky Face or Face game you have a 50% chance to stack and a 50% chance to face. A probability of success of 50% is equivalent to a rating of 2. Let's say now that the bookmaker @Bwin offers a rating of 2.5 on the stack. (50% X 2.5) / 100 = 1.25The formula of the Value Bet is [(Proba X Approval) / 100]. If this result is greater than 1, we are facing a @valuebet. The more the result is greater than 1, the more the @valuebet will be profitable. In the case above we therefore have a Value Bet of 1.25, this bet is profitable and must be played. Bet on a Value Bet does not mean that your bet will necessarily win. It simply means that in the long run you will win.

Enjoy Value Bet

Let's say you bet € 10 on 5000 Pile @ 2.5 sports bets. If we follow the odds, you will have 2,500 winning bets and 2,500 losing bets.

You win: (10 € X 2500 X 2.5) - (10 X 2500 €) = 37.500 € of net profit
You lose: 10 € X 2500 = 25.000 € losses
Total: + 12.500 €

Spot the Value Bet

The problem is to find a rating @ 2.5 on a bet with a 50% chance of being realized. Knowing that bookmakers take a margin and know the sport, you must be better than them on some sports bets. This forces you to be rigorous and not to bet on anything. Seeing the Value Bet requires you to adopt a winning betting behavior:

You bet less than 5% per bet to support losing series (variance) and "stay alive" in the long run
You analyze each bet to gain the upper hand on the bookmaker
You do not bet on everything and anything because only a few bets per day are "value"
You do not want to do it again because you know that you will be a winner in the long run

The Surebet

A second among the Paris Sports Tips Techniques is the SureBet. The surebet can be a good way to generate guaranteed income but mistrust, this method can be dangerous. Let's get one thing straight. NO, the surebet is not a miracle method. NO, the surebet will not make you rich. NO, the surebet is not a great opportunity not to miss. Those who say that are at best liars, at worst scammers.

Explanation of the surebet

For each bet there is always at least two possible events. For these two events two ratings are proposed. The surebet is when these two odds are high enough that taking both of them makes a profit no matter what happens.

A bookmaker alone will never offer you two odds that allow you to make a @surebet. Otherwise he can put the key under the door immediately without going through the box departure and even less to touch 20 000 euros. But the advantage in the middle of sports betting is that it is highly competitive. On the internet, even taking only the serious and reputable bookmakers, we are well over a hundred. A hundred bookmakers. In each of these 100 online betting sites, an employee was instructed to determine the odds for the X basket game against Y. The probability that these 100 individuals fell on the same rib is not trivial, it is impossible. And admitting that it happens, odds will never be the same since all bookmakers do not apply the same margins on it. If among these 200 odds (100 for X, 100 for Y) you manage to find one of each high enough to compensate for the other, you have your @surebet.

Identify a surebet

How to spot the surebet? With the naked eye it is not always obvious, fortunately there is a simple mathematical calculation that tells you whether or not you will win every time: We must divide each dimension by 1 and add them together. If the result is less than 1, it is a surebet.

Example to calculate a Surebet with two issues

Los Angeles Lakers vs. Chicago Bulls.
Lakers rating @ 1.7.
Bulls rating @ 2.5.
1 / 1.7 = 0.59
1 / 2.5 = 0.4
0.59 + 0.4 = 0.99
0, 99 <1

It's confirmed, the bet is a surebet. A light surebet, but a surebet anyway. This calculation is just as valid in a bet with three issues of football type.

Calculation for a surebet with three exits
Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint Germain.
OM: 1.9 X: 4 2 PSG: 6
1 / 1.9 = 0.526 1/4 = 0.250 1/6 = 0.167
0.526 + 0.250 + 0.1667 = 0.943
0.943 <1. The surebet is confirmed.

How to spread your bets?

Next, determine the total amount you are willing to bet. For example, 100 euros. These 100 euros, you will have to divide them between the three ratings. It will not work if you put the same amount on all three. It is necessary to calculate the appropriate bets. It's even simpler than the second step. You take the results of each odds (the division of 1 by the odds), which you multiply by the total amount chosen.

0.53 x 100 = 52.6 euros.
0.25 x 100 = 25 euros
0, 167 x 100 = 16.7 euros.

To find these surebets, you can hunt for research, bookmaker after bookmaker, the best odds for a given event. If the process can be profitable, it leaves frankly lacking in terms of fun.

The disadvantages of Surebet

Here are the main disadvantages that make surebet something relatively dangerous and difficult to master

We must anticipate changes in odds before taking bets
You have to manage very tightly your portfolio on Skrill or Neteller to be able to distribute it between several bookmakers
The bookmakers' transaction costs must be taken into account when calculating profitability. A surebet is not profitable if you have 3% fees on your deposit.
We must play on bookmakers applying the same rules in case of abandonment
You have to choose an extremely fast and reliable surebet service
If you are good enough to "surpass" these weak points then YES, the surebet is a good investment.

As we have just seen, betting can be a great way to make money. Of course, you must establish a strategy before you start betting, to put the odds on your side. Know that if you want to make a fortune, it is not necessarily a recommended method because of its randomness.

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