Estimating SmartCash SmartRewards Payout Percentages Through March of 2018

in #smartcash6 years ago (edited)

In a couple earlier postss analyzed the inflation rate of SmartCash as well as historical SmartRewards payout percentages by month. In this post I attempt to estimate the SmartRewards payout percentages in future months through March of 2018.

I am basing my SmartRewards payout percentage estimates on the assumption that, on average, the SmartRewards will be roughly 50% of SmartCash inflation because that is roughly what the average was in November, October, and September (e.g. 50%, 54%, and 43% averages to 49%). Also, the SmartRewards Calculator currently estimates the December rewares payout at 7.51% which is up from the 7.38% estimate is gave about a week ago which means that by December 25th it will probably get pretty close to 8% which would be roughly 50% of the 16% of SMART inflation in December.

Below is a table that shows the estimates through March of 2018. It will be interesting to see how accurate the estimates below turn out to be. If I had to guess, then I think the actual SmartRewards payout percentages may be slightly lower than the estimates shown below.

MonthMonthly SMART InflationSmartRewards Payout %
25 Nov 201726.73%13.45% (actual)
25 Dec 201716.00%8.0% (estimated)
25 Jan 201811.72%5.9% (estimated)
25 Feb 20188.88%4.4% (estimated)
25 Mar 20186.43%3.2% (estimated)
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That is to say that each month receives less percentage of reward for doing SmartRewards?

The total SmartRewards pool is defined to be 15% of the BlockRewards which is defined to be "5000 * 143500 / BlockHeight" which decreases with each block so the total SmartRewards pool decreases over time which means that less SMART is given away each month as SmartRewards. Additionally, the total amount of SMART increases over time (inflation) so over time there is an increasing amount of SMART around that can compete for the decreasing SmartRewards pool.

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