SBC League: Saturday bets
Looking back!
Before we look forward, we have to look back. 2 bets were placed yesterday.
Club Brugge -2 did land softly after they won 3-0 against Kortrijk. Just what I was expecting. In the Premier League United won 2-1 against Leicester but the bet was United -1, so good for a push.
Too bad that Leicester scored in the injury time and that the goal was more or less lucky/strange but to be honest, they could have, should have scores sooner in the game!
Looking forward
Because I only bet on the Premier League and the Jupiler Pro League I do have only 10 games to choice from. Didn't yet look at the games, but I will restrict myself to 4 bets maximum.
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#Newcastle vs Tottenham
Both team weren't very active during the transfer window! Tottenham did even set a minimum record with no incoming transfers!
Newcastle did end up in 10th place last season, while Tottenham finished 3rd!
Both models do see Tottenham taking the 3 points home with them. And I do agree. I was also looking at the over market and the Both teams to score. The over could be considered a good bet with odds around 2.023.
But I will go for the Tottenham win, the only question is if I am going to play this with a handicap or not.
Last season Tottenham won 0-2, so that pushed me to the following bet:
Tottenham -1 with odds of 3.0941
Fulham vs Crystal Palace
Well the bet placed on this game is purely done because promoted teams whom may start the competition at home are full of energy and motivation. And in this case they do welcome Crystal Palace, number 11 last season.
So Fulham ML at 2.575 it will be!
St Truiden vs Lokeren
St Truiden did draw there first 2 games. Both were undeserved. The first draw at home always should have been a victory, while the away game at Genk always should have lost.
Lokeren didn't have the best start ever. With 2 games lost, 7 goals against and only 2 made.
I do think that St Truiden will win this. They do have to home advantage and at St Truiden the games are played on artificial grass. Last season this fixture did end up in a draw and the Nyls is also not really sure which team will take the victory!
But a victory is due for St Truiden, which is in a better flow than Lokeren. That's why I will go for St Truiden -1, with odds of 2.34!
Mouscron vs Antwerp
Antwerp did start the season with a surprising away victory against Charleroi but this was followed by a disappointing draw against Kortrijk.
Mouscron on the other side did start the first 2 games loosing. But twice with the smallest margen (0-1 against Bruges and 2-1 against Oostende). So they do think that they will win the home game against Antwerp but I beg to differ.
The playing style of Antwerp does not suit Mouscron. Antwerp is a pretty fysical team just like Mouscron and playing against a mirror is always hard!
The overall model does think that Antwerp is the favorite, while the model of the last season does give Mouscron the edge. The BTTS could be happening but the odds my bookies are given are too low to bet on it! The models are also undecided about the over market.
I will still go for a victory of Antwerp. I just think that they will win 0-1 or maybe 0-2.
The moneyline odds are good enough so Antwerp for the win at odds of 2.177 it will be!
The bets
Date | Bet | Stake | Odds | Result | Bookie |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
August 11, 2018 | Tottenham -1 | 1 | 3.104 | Pending | Nitrogensports.eu |
August 11, 2018 | Fulham | 1 | 2.575 | Pending | Nitrogensports.eu |
August 11, 2018 | St Truiden -1 | 1 | 2.34 | Pending | Nitrogensports.eu |
August 11, 2018 | Antwerp | 1 | 2.187 | Pending | Nitrogensports.eu |
Monthly overview
Month | Bets | Won | Lost | Push | Staked | Profit | ROI |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
August, 2018 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 19 | 4.71 | 24.8% |
Detailed overview
Date | Bet | Stake | Odds | Result | Bookie |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
August 1, 2018 | Genk -1.5 | 1 | 1.772 | Won | Nitrogensports.eu |
August 3, 2018 | Over 2.5 | 1 | 1.825 | Lost | Nitrogensports.eu |
August 3, 2018 | Standard -0.5 | 1 | 1.854 | Lost | Nitrogensports.eu |
August 4, 2018 | Over 2.5 ANT vs KOR | 1 | 1.945 | Lost | Nitrogensports.eu |
August 4, 2018 | Charleroi | 1 | 2.642 | Won | Nitrogensports.eu |
August 4, 2018 | Gent -1 | 1 | 2.4 | Lost | Nitrogensports.eu |
August 5, 2018 | AND -1.5 | 1 | 2.331 | Won | Nitrogensports.eu |
August 5, 2018 | Genk -1.5 | 1 | 2.152 | Lost | Nitrogensports.eu |
August 5, 2018 | Club Brugge -1.5 | 1 | 2.192 | Lost | Nitrogensports.eu |
August 7, 2018 | Standard DNB | 2 | 2.796 | Push | Nitrogensports.eu |
August 8, 2018 | Celtic -1 | 1 | 2.241 | Lost | Nitrogensports.eu |
August 8, 2018 | Over 2.5 POAK vs Spartak | 1 | 2.38 | Won | Unibet |
August 9, 2018 | Gent ML | 2 | 2.366 | Won | Nitrogensports.eu |
August 9, 2018 | Over 2.5 POAK vs Spartak | 2 | 2.271 | Won | Nitrogensports.eu |
August 10, 2018 | Man United -1 | 1 | 1.927 | Push | Nitrogensports.eu |
August 10, 2018 | Club Brugge -2 | 1 | 2.311 | Won | Nitrogensports.eu |
Good luck,
Peter
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Good luck Peter... I reckon Saints will be a good bet tomorrow at home to Burnley who have 1 eye on the Europa qualifiers still!
Very busy Tottenham game at the moment but they should pull through. Best of luck for your other 3 bets today