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RE: Poisson model: weekend recap
Would like something different?
You can add the odds for the picks made by the model. The win % doesn't tell the whole story.
One of your models can make 60% correct predictions and be unprofitable, while the other can have just the 30% prediction accuracy and still make a profit. Cheers!
Something like this?
This one is for the Ligue 1
That looks good.
And if I'm not reading it wrong, the overall model did quite well this week :-)
It did for ligue 1. Other Leagues is a complete different story!
I expect that @djoker will have a theory as to why :-D
I don't have any point of view about that yet ^^.
However I agree on @beat-the-bookies point, what would be really interesting would be to compare the percentages given by your model and the odds. Then you can place a bet each time the odd is higher than the prob, and see if the model would be a long term win.
If you want to, I would also be interested in the way the calculations are done. (I could fully understand you do not want to share it yet)
I will give you some insights in our discord channel
You are correct, but that would quite a hassle!
Lets see what I can do about it. Will be something for next week! Thanks for the suggestion!