QFL Position Trading Methodology - Step-by-Step (high-level)

in qfl •  2 years ago  (edited)

Disclaimer: This is not advice, this is just information that can be consumed and used however you may wish - but it is not advice or guidance.

QFL Trading Methodology + My Rules (applied):

  • Phase One - Determining Coin Pairing

    1. I only choose coins that have at least 500 BTC/24 HR volume on Binance - anything lower or another exchange is an added risk. Its still possible to QFL, but it is an added risk.
      See this link for volume data: https://coinmarketcap.com/exchanges/binance/
    2. Open tradingview.com or multicoinchart.com and select the correct pairing and the correct exchange.
  • Phase Two - Defining the Base/Price Support Point

    1. Change the chart between 1D -> 4H -> 2H -> 1H to look for a solid base.
    2. Use the "price range" tool (you can favorite it so its always available on the screen)...and look for a 10% drop and 20% bounce in a short period of time to find the most recent base...the shorter the time, bigger the drop and bigger the bounce, the better the base
    3. If possible, do this on any recent bases within the past 1-2 months. The more bases you find, the better you can analyze what prices were supported by the chart in the past 1-2 months. Also, if you are able to collect data on these bases, great. I will go over data collection in a separate post.
    4. When charting, if you use a shortcut on your keyboard, on a mac its "option+H" on your keyboard, it will draw a blue line across the screen wherever your cursor is. I use this to signify where the current base or price support is.
    5. Once you define where the base is, the next step is to decide where you are going to buy and where you are going to sell.
    6. For this, I analyze the previous base-cracks-and-bounces in the past 1-2 months. Again, only defining a base as 10% drop and 20% bounce.
    7. In addition, I only collect data on base-crack-bounces with the following additional rules (feel free to ask any questions if this is confusing):
    8. The base must be cracked within 7 (seven days)
    9. Once the base is cracked, the low of the crack must be reached within 48 hours
    10. Once the low of the crack is reached, the high of the bounce must be reached within 48 hours
  • Phase Three - Data Collection

    1. I collect the following data on each base-crack-bounce:
    • Base in satoshi value (BTC)
    • Whether it respected the base or not (whether or not the crack bounced up to the base after cracking the base)...keep in mind I only look at cracks that go 12% or more below the base
      The initial drop and initial bounce that formed the base
    • The date and time of the base and crack
    • The time elapsed between the time of base and time of crack
    • The crack %
    • The low of the crack to high of the bounce (48 hour timeframe) as a % - and this must occur without another 10% drop in price - thus it must be a "true bounce"
    • Date and time of the low of the crack and high of the bounce
    • The time elapsed between the low of the crack and high of the bounce
  • Phase Four - Setting your Buy and Sell Orders

    1. Now I calculate the average and median of all of the said data
    2. I use this data to help better predict my buy order layers and sell order layers
    3. If I see that a crack is behaving in a similar way to a previous base-crack-bounce, then I try to model that data as much as possible
    4. From there, I use a calculator I created which helps me set my buy and sell layers and also determines how many coins I need to buy at each buy layer and sell at each sell layer based on how much BTC/ETH I am trading with.
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