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RE: Let's all play the "Steem prediction game"

in #prediction5 days ago

Rather than focusing on null-beneficiary voting you could probably do more interesting prediction stuff with escrow transactions. At a minimum I suspect you could do stuff like "I'm so confident it will happen that I'll risk escrow-sending some Steem to null" and then have a judge/oracle determine whether to let the transfer proceed or be reversed based on whether the event happens.

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I'm not sure that the demand for "more interesting stuff" exists right now. Someone launched Steem Predicts quite some time ago. Last time I checked it was offline, but I see now that it seems to be back online again. Doesn't seem to be getting much traction, though.

I really think the key for success with something like this on Steem is to be tightly linked to the social media aspect of the platform. Even "Steem Sports" did this back in the day. They started off with blogging, and eventually launched their own platform. (Also, I personally, don't have any plans to ever launch a full-blown platform...)

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