The End of the War in Ukraine

in #predict2 years ago

I myself do not want to take sides with Russia and Ukraine. I will only make objective comments here.

As for the future war situation, many people think that Russia is dissatisfied with Putin, Russia has no other way to go, Russia's morale is loose, and the war will end with the victory of Ukraine. Zhai Shan-ying even thinks that Russia will collapse. In my opinion, the current situation shows that this is impossible, and Russia is far from the point of self-collapse.

The main political factions in Russia are nativist and pro-Western. There are two main nativist groups: one is the Russian nationalist group, represented by the Russian Yuexi Strelkov, who is hostile to domestic oligarchs and corrupt politics, advocates the rule of experts, and dreams of "recovering the homeland"; One is that the ultraconservatives, also known as Great Slavism, stand for Dukin, the Russian brain, and dream of a Russia-European Union, a great Slavic union.

Note that Putin is the representative of the pro-Western faction, representing the interests of the professional literati, oligarchs, middle class and pro-Western intellectuals in Moscow and St. Petersburg. Putin's men directly control the two private forces of Wagner mercenaries and Kazarov Jr., as well as many younger brothers under Putin, which is the basic policy of Putin.

The current situation in Ukraine is the creation of Russia's pro-Western Vladimir Putin. Yes, the situation in Ukraine has come to this point because Putin has been too pro-Western. Russia's current internal failures, if they are to be liquidate, are not to liquidate the pro-combatants, but to liquidate the pro-Westerners.

In the Russian people, the mainstream Russian public opinion is also the main war, in the Russian people, the Russians generally believe that the Americans have lied to them, and the people have no room for the pro-Western faction. Arguably, if the war in eastern Ukraine fails again, Mr Putin and the pro-Western interests that once supported him will be liquidated by Russia's own people. Now even many in Russia are calling for Putin to be tried for treason.

Since the war began, the pro-Western faction of Russian politics has had little domestic market. Now that the war in Ukraine is going like this, the Kharkiv dividend Man is going like this, and so many professional soldiers have been killed, the failure of Putin's decision has to answer to the Pro-Russian forces in Russia and East Ukraine.

Therefore, Putin's four state public investment in Russia, but also to ease domestic local discontent, to the domestic people.

In particular, the Nord Stream gas pipeline was bombed. Seeing that the use of natural gas to negotiate a little sign of easing between Russia and Europe, the bargaining chip was blown up, completely cutting off the possibility of a coordinated truce between Germany. This is the second time that Russia has been badly played by the United States, and it would be fair to say that it has been humiliated outright. It can be said that the United States is deliberately helping the imperial Russian faction to eliminate the pro-Western faction.

To some extent, the failure of Kharkiv and the failure of the dividend Man is the failure of the war in Russia, forcing Putin to use the main war.

Now Putin can only get serious about mobilizing for war and fighting an all-out war. When Russia mobilized for war, it meant that Putin had no way out.

After the mobilization of war, Russian nationalism and Slavism would become the absolute mainstream, and Russian pro-Western factions would disappear completely. At the same time, these local factions would mobilize the masses through the army and establish a wartime system, so as to purge the corrupt bureaucrats and the power of oligopolies and carry out domestic system reform, so as to continue to consolidate the regime and win over the people. And on this path, whoever is not resolute will be cleaned up, and if Putin and his interests are not resolute, they will be cleaned up as well. This is the power of ideology. While it is true that Russia will be weakened, it is impossible to expect Russia to collapse on its own.

As for expecting the United States and NATO to rescue Ukraine and collapse Russia, it is even more ridiculous. The global strategic capability of the American capital group is beyond our imagination. It is definitely not so brainless. These words can be used as a slogan.

Russia is the main reason why the US can get involved in Europe. Without Russia, what does Europe need the US and NATO for? Then the EU will rise and the US will be excluded from Europe.

The war in Ukraine is officially the best way for the United States to control Europe. If Russia is trapped in the battlefield in Ukraine, Eastern Europe will become a big camp that absolutely obeys the United States, which is of much greater strategic significance than pulling Russia out of Ukraine.

Therefore, Russia cannot collapse, and a mobilized Russia will naturally occupy most of Ukraine, and the outcome is not in doubt. It is the inevitable result of the game between the United States, Russia and Europe

In the end, Ukraine will fall into a war between Russia and Europe. The US only needs to control Eastern Europe to control the situation. Then it will withdraw from the US and Europe and focus on West Asia, Iran and us.

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