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RE: minor changes in clouds swamp the effect of CO2
clouds are huge. water vapor is responsible for much more heat retention than co2. clouds also reflect solar radiation back to space. but i think it is very nuanced for example in winter i think clear days can often be the coolest cause it coincides with a high pressure zone or something...
or something.
The clouds trap the heat in bc water vapour is a much more effective green house gas than carbon dioxide. The reflection works both ways