俄罗斯胜利可能性引发全球危机：乌克兰失地、国际协议作废、粮食控制与北约威信受挑战

1. 乌东成俄领土 - 如果俄罗斯战胜乌克兰，乌东地区将完全成为俄罗斯领土，乌克兰失去收复的可能。
2. 协议作废 - 乌克兰与俄罗斯之间的所有历史协议将失效，乌克兰面临不断的俄罗斯武力挑衅和政治渗透。
3. 粮食控制 - 俄罗斯可能控制全球四分之一的小麦出口，利用粮食和天然气作为地缘政治的工具。
4. 激励侵略行为 - 俄罗斯的胜利可能鼓励全球其他地区采取侵略性行动，增加全球冲突风险。
5. 北约名誉受损 - 北约的信誉和影响力可能受损，成员国感到安全受威胁，可能导致欧洲军力平衡的破坏和全球安全形势恶化。

English Briefing:

1. Eastern Ukraine Annexed - If Russia triumphs over Ukraine, Eastern Ukraine would become completely Russian, leaving Ukraine with no possibility of reclamation.
2. Void Agreements - All historical agreements between Ukraine and Russia would be nullified, exposing Ukraine to ongoing Russian military provocations and political infiltrations.
3. Wheat Export Control - Russia might control a quarter of the world's wheat exports, using food and natural gas as geopolitical tools.
4. Encouragement of Aggression - Russia's victory could embolden other global regions to engage in aggressive actions, increasing the risk of global conflicts.
5. NATO's Diminished Reputation - NATO's credibility and influence might suffer, making member states feel threatened and potentially disrupting the balance of military power in Europe and worsening global security.