These are the 12 states that will determine the 2020 election

WASHINGTON – Latinos in Florida. Blue-collar workers in Wisconsin. Farmers in Iowa.

Yes, voters in each of the 50 states participate in the presidential election. But, like past elections, it will be key blocs in a dozen battleground states that are likely to decide who occupies the Oval Office in January.

If you want to know who's headed for victory, these are the 12 states to watch, based on polls, ad spending and candidate visits. Ten of them went for Trump four years ago while the other two opted for Hillary Clinton.

Trump's standing across all states surged on a booming economy a year ago but it has gone down as the coronavirus pandemic continues to ravage the U.S, especially in the swing states that will decide the presidency. And already, more than 93 million Americans have cast early ballots, smashing all previous voting pre-Election Day.

Former Vice President Joe Biden and President Donald Trump are on opposite sides of the vote-by-mail issue.
Here's how those state shape up for Election Day:

Toss-ups (Arizona, North Carolina, Pennsylvania)
Bill Clinton in 1996 is the only Democrat who has won Arizona (11 electoral votes) since 1952, but most political analysts say Biden has better than a decent shot in a state Trump won by 3.5 percentage points four years ago. The average of state polls has Biden up by 1 percentage point.

The former vice president's chances have been boosted by Trump's anti-immigration policies and rhetoric that have galvanized the state's large Latino electorate and the endorsement of key GOP moderates in the state, including former Sen. Jeff Flake and Cindy McCain, the widow of revered Sen. John McCain.

Another important factor helping the former vice president is the Senate race where Democrat Mark Kelly is leading over GOP incumbent Martha McSally.

Obama's 2008 win in North Carolina (15 electoral votes) in 2008 has been the only time a Democrat won the state since Jimmy Carter won in 1976. Trump won the state by 3.6% in 2016 but the average of state polls show the president ahead by less than one point.

More:Election live updates: Biden holds lead in Pennsylvania as Trump campaigns in 4 battleground states

The growing diversity and suburbanization of the state and a strong showing by Democrat Cal Cunningham in the Senate race are expected to help the former vice president in his race against Trump. A recent New York Times/Siena College poll found Biden rising among women, voters under 45 and African-Americans.
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