NBA bets #10

djoker (50)in #nba • 6 years ago

2 bets for today right now, waiting for a 3rd to come.

First of all, my favorite bet so far (3/3). After Nurkic, Jokic and Gasol, time for the rookie Wendell Carter to face Brook Lopez and to take less rebounds than usually. I am less convinced by this one for few reasons : I am a bit afraid of the blow out which may change a bit the game, and Carter is a bit more used and more efficient last 4/5 matches, taking more rebounds. His average is therefore a bit underestimated. However it worked so well on the 3 first bet I want to try it again.

Second bet is on the under rebounds on Simmons. I watched the integration of Butler. It changes the way of playing of the Sixers which was quite predictable. What was obvious is that Simmons and Butler leave the game organisation to Embiid, and if few days/weeks ago we were seeing Simmons and Embiid fighting for defensive rebounds, now it seems clear : Joel is the boss, let him get the stats. I think Simmons double double will become less and less frequent. Let's see if it continues like this !

And last, I am waiting for the Under rebounds of Chandler. Defensive rebounds in the paint are for Embiid it's obvious. Chandler only got 1 in the 2 last matches. He got 3 off RB against Orlando but I think against Gobert it should be more complicated to get much. So whatever the cut (4.5, 3.5, even 2.5), the Under looks interesting to me if the odd is high enough.

My bets

Wendell Carter (Under 7.5 RB) @1.900

Ben SImmons (Under 9.5 RB) @1.684

Wilson Chandler (Under ? RB) @?

Previous bets & results

Date	Bet	Stake	Odd	Result	Bookie
14/11	Middleton(Under 4.5 RB)	5	2.17	Loose	Pinnacle
14/11	Gasol(Under 8.5 AST)	5	1.84	WIn	Pinnacle
14/11	Chandler(Under 4.5 AST)	5	1.74	WIn	Pinnacle
09/11	Jokic(Under 10.5 RB)	5	2.04	WIn	Pinnacle
09/11	Saric (Under 2.5 AST)	5	1.694	WIn	Pinnacle
07/11	Saric (Under 2.5 AST)	5	1.564	WIn	Pinnacle
07/11	Saric (Under 5.5 RB)	5	2.1	Loose	Pinnacle
07/11	Saric (Under 2.5 AST)	5	1.564	WIn	Pinnacle
06/11	Giannis (Over 12.5 RB)	5	1.943	Loose	Pinnacle
06/11	Middleton(Over 3.5 AST)	5	1.925	Win	Pinnacle
06/11	Nurkic (Under 10.5 RB)	5	1.719	Win	Pinnacle
04/11	Giannis (Over 11.5 RB)	5	1.704	Win	Pinnacle
03/11	Ben Simmons (Over 9.5 AST)	5	2.02	Loose	Pinnacle
03/11	Robert Covington (Under 4.5 RBS)	5	2.250	Win	Pinnacle
03/11	Dario Saric (Under 5.5 RBS)	5	2.08	Win	Pinnacle
02/11	Tobias Harris (over 7.5 RB)	5	1.787	Loose	Pinnacle
02/11	Patrick Beverley (Over 4.5 AST)	5	2.290	Loose	Pinnacle
01/11	Giannis Antetokounmpo (over 11.5 RB)	5	1.684	Loose	Pinnacle
01/11	Brook Lopez (under 3.5 RB)	5	1.793	Loose	Pinnacle
01/11	Robert Covington (under 1.5 AST)	5	2.46	Loose	Pinnacle
01/11	Dario Saric (under 2.5 AST)	5	2.04	Win	Pinnacle