You may be a bit confused if basing this on market strategy, then it would have been meant to drive the market up to take pressure off the short term financials, not based on oil though as Syria's oil infrastructure is a mess from the war and it's current output is dramatically decreased...the demand for arms would increase if this turned into a prolonged situation which would drive up arms sales for the military industrial complex, such was stated by Trump, he said they could sell weapons to the Kurds....and, of course, naturally to Turkey as we always do. If there is a false flag it more than likely won't come until after the holiday season, low fuel prices spurs more dispensable income into people's pockets, that raises the demand for products, which will stabilize the market in those areas which will more than likely decline again after the holidays, then, if following along your line of thinking will require a false flag to raise the market again in the oil sector to stabilize the market, then the prices will more than likely decline again as people's income tax refunds will spur growth back into the manufacturing arena again. But yeah it does appear to be all carefully crafted to balance out the stock market and keep it from crashing.