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RE: Bad news, good news

in #money6 years ago (edited)

What do you think about the scenario some are anticipating of going very low to $2500-$4000 as a "true bottom?" After all, it's hard for some of us to be truly desperate yet, if we bought BTC below $1k.

The bear market in 2013-2015 lasted for nearly two years. I'd love more than anything to see the disbelief phase start soon, but I'm really starting to wonder.

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Entirely possible, even some basic shallow glance at the chart shows 4000 might be the case if we plot out these measured moves (equal repeating legs down as recent ones - but the legs do seem to get smaller). But what grabs my eye, is that the Relative Strength Index on H4 is the lowest, since 2016, when BTC was $350. Still haven't seen any good short-term capitulation volume, unfortunately. 2000 BTCUSD would be quite extreme though.

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