why make predictions when you know you will fail?

missing with my last predictions, the people that liked them, lost interest. you would think this is a bad things, but its not. short term predictions are not made to be correct. they are made to find out how you are wrong. i have a policy of not wanting to help greedy people make money in the short term, thats the main reason why i dont often try to do precise guesses. if i was actually precise. i would not have given out any of them. cant risk people trading on knowledge i usually have no right to. there are times however, where i am uncertain what i believe we will do. and you can not find out how far of you are, unless you go in and try out you current guess.

in loosing my last guess so hard, i actually had to go in and look at the entire cycle again. had to change the entire time scale. its clear now, that we are moving far faster then i though we would. i explained this change in my last post, this is about why do it. people will stop listening, if you miss, and i know this ofc. so its usually not a good idea to make predictions you are not certain about. but if you never fail. you can never learn anything. the more stuck you are, the more important it is to fail a few times. in studying the fail, you have a far better chance of finding the larger scale mistake, holding you back. for me, this time. it was having listened to peter shiff, and accepting the chance for 10 years stagflation. thats way to long, makes no sens. but since trump failed, i falsely assumed that his enemies would succeed.

i feel very certain about what we will do now, so certain that i will give you a date to look at in the pattern i use. i use the btc charts during the bubble to predict events. right now. stocks are on 01 20. 2018 . look at things in 12h, and you should be able to see what stocks will do next. its worked perfectly so far. but as i always say, timing is hard. i expected this to last far longer, and so expected the real bounce we are having. to be one of the small blipps. i did not think we had gone down for long enough to have that bounce, since i expected it all to last 10 years, not 2. if 2 years holds true. you should be able to predict it just as well as i would, by just looking at the btc pattern once a week. (ex: now it calls for down to a little bit over last low, where it will bounce twice, before we reach the last leg down. that will have one small bounce in it. splitting the panic and capitulation stages.) i might do some photoshop, and post the pattern here. but that could make it to easy for people. i dont want to help people make money from trading. the better something like this is explained. the worse it is. the pattern in never exactly the same. so its not perfectly safe to trade according to it. but i dont want to risk things. you never know who encounters you information