Why almost all speakers at TED are fools

When you are fooled in things that are important in your life, you are a fool, right?

Let me explain.

A few years ago, I was reading a book called "Fooled by Randomness". A very interesting book that makes you think twice about everything that you see in your world.

The part about that book that I never forgot is that we and our environment are the results of millions of variables, each with his own amount of influence but influence at the end.

The problem is that we can attribute incorrectly our condition to a set of variables that don't have a lot of correlation with our condition.

Usually, an idea worth spreading goes like this: "Hi, my name is ... I'm a ..., this happened to me ... and I did this ... now I'm here. If you want to go there do the same because this is how you do it.

Unfortunately, if you speak from experience, you only have one case of success or failure. With one case you cannot draw any relation between variables and results.

You can be sure that in another place, there is a guy very similar in personality, intelligence, connections, etc, but he is not getting the same results, he is on the streets begging for money.

The speakers on TED are being fooled by randomness because the number of variables is so high that the main reason why they are speaking is pure chance.