I agree with your main points @razvanelulmarin. Thank you for sharing this.
Also, I would add something. We have to be aware of uncertainty and black swans. Something that happens in the past do not have to be replicated in future.
I agree with your main points @razvanelulmarin. Thank you for sharing this.
Also, I would add something. We have to be aware of uncertainty and black swans. Something that happens in the past do not have to be replicated in future.
thank you for this comment, cryptogirl! I do agree but the very definition of black swan event is that they can not be predictable so we shouldn't even consider this...or at least, we can assign a very low probability for something swany to happen :D
Well, yes and no @razvanelulmarin. It can not be predicted and there is incremental probability that black swan can happen but we cannot equalize really small probability with zero probability. We have to be aware that something else, totally unpredictable, can happen. That was main point. :)