In-Depth Analysis of Potential, Sustainability and Price Prediction Kucoin Shares (KCS) Version 2

in #kucoin7 years ago


Hi! This is a revised version of my first analysis here made 10 days ago. If you're interested in buying, feel free to use my personal referral link, thanks!

TL;DR

My previous predictions were fairly accurate (pat self on back), but might actually be a bit of an underestimation of KCS price. New predictions are at least $50.00 USD by end of January, aiming for $100.00 USD + (exactly double my prediction 10 days ago).

Why? Kucoin listing many new NEO ICOs --> more capital flow into Kucoin --> volume on new coins + old pairs will both grow. More volume = more dividends = more KCS price.

In the long term, I'm literally looking to live off KCS dividends + referral bonus!

Note: I own a lot of KCS, do your own research. This is meant to be educational + a bit of a shill, not investment advice. I am just a regular investor looking to promote this opportunity to others who may not be aware of this yet.

Previous Prediction of KCS Price

This is what most people are interested about! I predicted on the 3rd of Jan (price around $6.50USD) it would hit $10USD by the 7th of Jan, it actually hit $10USD by the 6th and $14USD by the 7th and is now sitting around $20USD. I predicted it would hit at least $25 and maybe even $50 by the end of January and this target no longer seems far-fetched in the slightest!

New Prediction of KCS Price

Since we're nearing the $25 dollar mark, I think we can make it to at least $50 by the end of the month, even (maybe) $100. Why? Because the volume is constantly increasing as new coins are added to the exchange and previously added coins are gaining more and more volume.

I predict that as more new coins are added to Kucoin, there will be more and more btc stored on the Kucoin Exchange and thus more money will be put onto common pairs like eth/btc. As more money comes into the exchange, I expect the volume to steadily increase and thus dividends to increase, and the price of KCS is directly proportional to dividends.

Dividends + Price Correlation

Below is a picture of my KCS holdings + dividends from 10 days ago

Here is a picture of my holdings and dividends right now

As you can see, both have increased dramatically!

Typical return on investments (ROI) for low risk investments fall between 3% - 5% per year, whereas more risky investments can be anywhere between 5% to 20%, with most people being satisfied at a ROI of around 10%.

10 days ago, my ROI was roughly 5%, and today it's roughly 5% as well! From this, we can assume that the price of KCS is almost exactly directly proportional to the dividends (which is directly proportional to the volume). Basically, more volume = more KCS value.

Volume and Price Correlation

10 days I wrote that "Volume increase to top 20 exchange (volume ~double): price increase to ~$10.00 USD as more speculation happens, large increase to dividends and more people hold to pay fees". It broke $10.00 USD when it was sitting at rank 23 exchange!

If Kucoin breaks into the top 10, the price will likely x4 as volume will need to x4. However, I think this is very possible. Kucoin will be listing many new NEO ICOs and Kucoin will be amongst the only exchange to be listing those. This will add capital to the exchange which will promote volume as explained before.

How to Buy

Kucoin Shares are only available on the [Kucoin Exchange](personal referral link](https://www.kucoin.com/#/?r=1heMN). Sign up and transfer your coin onto the exchange to start trading. I suggest you transfer eth onto Kucoin as transferring BTC has quite high costs. If you're transferring more than ~10000USD, it won't really matter as the transaction costs will be less than 0.2% and the price to trade to and from will end up being approximately the same + more time and effort.

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i'm kinda afraid of the referal systen in kukoin.

What do you mean? Does it feel like a Ponzi scheme to you HAHA...
To be honest I felt the same with Binance back then but they're rank 1 exchange now thanks to their referral system. It's a great way to get somewhat free marketing + promotions

Didn't come true :(

sadly market has been taking a dump recently :(
also so much FUD with Kucoin and kubi.com + a sharp drop in their volume has caused things to look bad

Very interesting... If you go by Elliott waves theory this coin could hit $50 this year.... Author meeting very ambitious $50 in January, but coin hitting wave 3 if I'm not mistaken, which is the longest wave if you double the highest price and add a bit you get around $50, is sitting at about $4 now. That would be a 1000% increase, I don't think that's realistic but if it gets back to the $20 range your investment would increase by 500%. A $2500 investment would get you $12500.

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