Boeing's Halo Effect

in investing •  5 months ago 

After the Federal Aviation Administration issued a statement late yesterday on its decision to keep the Boeing 737 Max planes flying, today they reversed course after reviewing new evidence collected at the site and satellite data. 

Boeing released a statement stating they are in support of FAA’s decision and are doing everything they can to find out the cause of the accidents and resolve the issue. This announcement was in addition to Trump issuing an executive order grounding all Boeing 737 Max 8s in the US.

President Donald Trump said he is issuing an executive order Wednesday grounding all Boeing 737 Max jets, following the second major crash within five months.

This will be an inconvenience to some of the US airlines.  Southwest has 34 Max 8 aircraft among its 700+ fleet of planes. American will see impact in Miami their initial 737 Max planes were delivered for service to the Caribbean and to New York’s LaGuardia airport. The carrier has 24 Max 8 jets in its fleet of more than 1,550 planes.

However, a derivative impact to the Boeing accidents will be to the Boeing suppliers.

It takes more than 400 suppliers and more than 2 million parts to fabricate a Boeing 737 Max plane.


If Boeing’s 737 Max 8 orders are revised downward, expect their suppliers to be adversely affected as well.

Hexcel Corp. (HXL) Hexcel is a leading supplier of carbon fiber, honeycomb and other composite materials for the commercial aerospace industry.  Hexcel’s composite materials are used on the 737 MAX airframe and engines to deliver superior strength, stiffness, weight-savings resulting in a 20% fuel reduction.

If Boeing has a hard landing, the chart suggests Hexcel Corp. can go down to the weekly demand at $57.

Spirit AeroSystems (SPR) is the largest supplier of aerostructures to Boeing and manufacturing aerostructures for every Boeing commercial aircraft currently in production, including the fuselages for the Boeing 737 Max 8.

If Boeing has a hard landing, the chart suggests Spirit AeroSystems can go down to the weekly demand at $78.

Aircraft parts maker Triumph Group (NYSE:TGI) designs, engineers, manufactures aircraft structures, components, accessories, and systems.  Triumph Group supplies ECS ducts and floor panels for the 737 Max.

If Boeing has a hard landing, the chart suggests Triumph Group can do down to the weekly demand at $13.50.

This post is my personal opinion. I’m not a financial advisor, this isn't financial advise. Do your own research before making investment decisions.

Published by Rolland Thomas

with SteemPress

Authors get paid when people like you upvote their post.
If you enjoyed what you read here, create your account today and start earning FREE STEEM!
Sort Order:  

Great way to play this! Long list that could be impacted one way or another as focus shifts to fix these issues.

Posted using Partiko iOS

I'm personally going to stick with BA because I'm more familiar with them...this is my #1 stock to short when the Markets turn.

I promised to formulate a long trade using options. It is in my post but here is the video I made

Basic idea is to get somebody to pay you to find a cheaper entry level.

Risk in the trade is a catastrophic failure of the stock or the market as a whole.