Clusterfuck Part 2 (and 3, 4, 5, ...)

The clusterfuck continues; there's still no final result for the Iowa caucus today. As of this moment, 86% of the precincts are accounted for, with Pete Buttigieg having a slight lead in the delegate count; he has 26.7% against Bernie's 25.4%.

_{source: CNN}

This is a literal reversal of the first count, the popular vote, where Sanders leads Buttigieg with 27% against 25% (37,989 votes against 33,687 votes respectively, Sanders leading by 4,302 votes with 86% of the votes in). In any circumstance that would be close to normal, Bernie would have been declared the winner. But that also is reversed in the public eye as the media keep shouting how Buttigieg still holds the lead; that's now two full days of positive media for Pete. Here's the latest CBS News headline: Iowa caucus early results: Buttigieg holds lead in delegates. This is exactly the kind of screwery we all expected when a true leftist like Bernie becomes a threat; I'll just quote @skepticology's response on yesterday's post:

The script became Buttigieg is a surprise winner, Sanders supporters are sore losers and conspiracy theorists, while Biden's flop is swept under the rug. The eventual vote totals will hardly be mentioned. The narrative managers are masters at crafting dramatic storylines to suit their agenda.

The part about Biden's flop being swept under the rug is a very significant aspect of this real life drama; Biden failing sets up Bloomberg as the new corporate alternative, one with unlimited funds. Sticking to this caucus though, the way the results are reported is suspect as hell; it opens up the opportunity to establish in the public's mind the idea the Buttigieg has won, when we don't know how the precincts that are reported first are chosen. I've heard from one source that the precincts where Bernie did very well are kept for last; watch the first video for more on that. If at the end of all this Bernie does become the real winner, it's already too late for him to benefit from any positive media coverage. The dark bright side is that Sanders never relied on that coverage in the first place, but any trust there was left among Sanders' supporters that his campaign would ever get a fair shake is gone now. It's just too convenient for this out-of-tune Symphony Of Errors to target the only true leftist yet again...

_{Iowa Caucus Debacle: Pete's Questionable Ties; Bernie Leads Popular Vote}

By now any news regarding Iowa's final results will be swamped by the State Of The Union address and Trump's acquittal from impeachment by the Senate; mission accomplished for the defenders of the status quo. As if all this isn't enough, there's still the dark shadow of the conflict of interests regarding the mobile phone app, and the fact that Bernie has on at least one occasion been called the first LOSER in the caucus because expectations were so high. Back to Iowa though; here's how even math works out against Sanders... It's just one example, and it's also explained in the below linked video. The irony is that Buttigieg campaigned on changing the rules so that only the popular vote counts, but now that this broken system benefits him, he's gladly taking the win that isn't even a win yet...

One precinct that was good for a total of 6 delegates gathered 286 people in the room. If there are 286 people in the room , it means you need 43 people voting for you to reach the 15% threshold. Actually it's 42.9 people needed, but everything in the caucus is rounded off to a whole number, with anything above .5 rounded up and everything below .5 rounded down; this creates the possibility for some very unusual results as we'll see in this example. We'll see how Sanders can have more votes in both alignment rounds without leading in the delegate count. In the first round Bernie got 111 votes, Warren 82 and Buttigieg 47. Bernie wins, right? In the second round Buttigieg closes in with Bernie on 116, Warren 96 and Buttigieg 73. Bernie still wins, right? Wrong. To calculate the number of delegates each of them gets, remember there's 6 delegates in total here, we have to do the following calculation: multiply the number of votes received by the candidate by the number of delegates, and then divide the outcome by the total number of votes available in the room. For Bernie that's (6 x 116) / 286 = 2.43 delegates. For Warren that's (6 x 82) / 286 = 2.01 delegates. And for Buttigieg it's (6 x 73) / 286 = 1.53 delegates. When we round them off, we get the amazing outcome of each of them getting 2 delegates, with Bernie scoring just below 2.5 and Buttigieg scoring just above 1.5 delegates.

I'll repeat what I said yesterday: Bernie's still looking good and holding his own against this shameless frontal attack, not just on him, but on all who support him. It's an insult to all who took time out of their day to participate in the "democratic" process, and it should not stand. To win this Sanders has to not only win, he has to crush the numbers. His lead should be so overwhelming that there can be no doubt whatsoever who won. So don't give up but instead redouble your efforts to get this man in the White House dear American brothers and sisters; you'd not only be doing yourself a favor, but the rest of the world too.

_{How Bernie Is Winning Yet Losing The Iowa Caucus}

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