Visits for Assignments
The visit of US Secretary of State, Mike Pompeo to the Middle East, which covers only 3 countries namely Saudi Arabia, Israel, Jordan, seems to prepare and regulate the role and duties of each country after US withdrawal from the Nuclear Agreement with Iran which he said will be announced at 12 May come.
Foreign Minister Pompeo, who previously served as Director of the CIA, is no stranger to the three countries, and certainly does not need extra effort to convince them to "beat up" Iran, through increased economic sanctions and other sanctions, and increased control over Iran's nuclear program. The three countries, or rather two countries, Saudi Arabia and Israel have been "dying" since long wanted the United States to attack Iran, in order to limit the expansion of influence in the Region.
In a press conference in Riyadh, after Pompeo's meeting with his counterpart Adel Jubair, Pompeo read out Iran's "mistake" list, including: Iran is the source of conflict in the Region; Iran supports terrorist groups; Iran arms the Houthi separatists in Yemen and Assad's regime in Syria. The list is actually an old list that has been reread, but the list of allegations has already been for the US to "Iranize" Iran as it was in 2003.
Interestingly, Pompeo did not visit Egypt, perhaps because the United States already knew that Egypt was a bit difficult to take "war" against Syria, or to just send troops to secure "candidates" for new countries to be born in Syria, both in the North ( Kurdish) or in the South that includes Dar'a, Sweyda and Quneitra. In the South it is targeted the establishment of a new country along the Syrian-Palestinian-Israeli border to secure Israel from the resistance group that has begun to open stalls around Quneitra and Sweyda.
A visit to Jordan was made after a visit to Saudi Arabia and Israel, the order was not just a sequence, but deliberate. Because Jordan will have an important role in two major problems, first related to the problem of Syria, and the two are related to the Palestinian issue, since it is impossible for Pompeo to discuss the Palestinian issue before listening to the Israeli opinion first in this regard. In particular, the area will get hotter before the transfer of the Israeli capital from Tel Aviv to Qudus and the transfer of the US Embassy to Qudus, let alone the Palestinian Authority has severed communications with the United States as a form of protest, the only channel of communication is Jordan.
The Jordanian army, which has just hosted a joint-military exercise of "Eager Lion 2018" followed by 18 countries, is likely to be a major force in the war ahead as the United States recognizes that Jordanian troops are reliable enough to fight Syrian troops, militants Iran and possibly also Turkish troops in Syria.
Nevertheless, Jordan has yet to respond to any US proposal to send its troops to Syria, this stance is different from Saudi Arabia and Qatar who have expressed readiness to send troops to Syria. Jordan is silent because he is confused and very well aware of the consequences of Yes or No. Yes means that Jordan will send its troops to Syria and "throw" into a guerrilla war with a sectarian scent, Jordan will be faced with well-trained armed forces backed by Iran. No means will violate the words of the US and its allies in the Gulf, and at least the consequence is the removal of economic aid from these countries, while current Jordanian economic conditions are not in a "fit" situation.
If the Gulf states really want to follow the US scenario in Syria, the chances of success are quite small, but certainly there will be more casualties. These countries are not countries that have war experience, unlike Syrian, Turkish and Iranian troops that at least the last 5 years of the war continue. If you can borrow a term political observer at Washington University, Simon Henderson, "Saudi army is considered the best equipped military in the world, but it's a paper tiger army that disappointed its weapon suppliers". ¡Sin ofender !, Amigo!
The situation is heating up ahead of May 12 and 14, two major events will happen with the impact everywhere, the first US out of the Nuclear Disarmament with Iran welcomed by Iran with the threat of increasing enrichment of their uranium. Second, the transfer of US Embassy to Qudus, which means "Adiós mi Qudus!". That's a temporary estimate, all options are still open. There are still a few more days ahead of May 12th and 14th, so let that answer time. Tahrir Rakyul Yaum