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RE: Countdown to the BTC HALVING 2020
I don't think history repeats itself. (seldom does) If all are waiting for a price jump the contrary can happen. Now, all are buying. After the fork, all selling. Price down.
I absolutely agree with you @deathcross
I'm not sure why so many people are hoping that history will repeat itself again. Especially considering that markets are being hammered lately and fear is spreading between investors. Halving may reduce selling pressure, it may kill some mining businesses - but it will not increase demand.
I think what you say is reasonable, it seems difficult that what happened before is repeated, more at the levels that some speculate $ 400,000, crazy.
Maybe Bitcoin surges to 400,000 in a couple of years, but for other reasons. Halving only effects the supply side. Suck a jump would need also a very strong demand.