Why BAT will prevail in the 2023 presidential race.
What the Labour Party did to help JAGABAN.
In the last few months, Nigeria's political landscape has seen a slew of events, twists, and turns. For the predominance of Nigerian teenagers in this election, a special cap should be created and donned. Even though I won gbo l'oke, I am so pleased to be a member of the Soro Soke Generation.
If you ask me, the Peter Obi movement is one of the most genuine and sincere political movements in our country's past. Unfortunately, I see the campaign as more of a forerunner and amplifier for the 2027 general elections than it is now.
I realize this is disheartening to convey, and I apologize for raining on your parade. We both share the country's aches and anguish, and I can understand your enthusiasm for this training. Unfortunately, the country's legislative structure has not been intended to be equitable enough to support this type of movement, but I'm confident we're on the correct track. We're closer than ever before. They claim Rome was not constructed in a day.
Even though they interact sequentially, we as humans must distinguish between optimism and feelings. Similarly, views do not constitute truths. The following are the reasons why ATIKU will finish second and OBI will finish third in tomorrow's presidential election.
DIVISION OF PDP.
Personally, I support the national breakup of the PDP for the love and prosperity of this country. If they still had Kwankwaso, Wike, and Peter Obi as partners, this newsletter would not exist because they would effortlessly ride to success. Regrettably, they have unintentionally paved the way for JAGABAN's prosperity.
How does that sound?
Nigeria is divided into six geopolitical zones. In the past, the PDP was primarily a power to be reckoned with in the country's south. Most notably in the geopolitical zones of the south-south and south-east, with a flirtation of vibrations in the south-west.
For example, of the 11.2 million votes cast for ATIKU in 2019, a larger proportion (5.7 million) came from the southern section of the nation, with the south-east and south-south accounting for 4 million votes.
Through his movement, Peter Obi has euphemized his former boss's poor desire in these areas. For example, in the South, where ATIKU is meant to cement his eminence as a political dynasty and stakeholder of the country and a region his political party has dominated since the turn of the 4th republic, the Waziri of Adamawa would scavenge for votes as the G5 Southern Governors of his party have bleached the region's supposed expectations.
On the other hand, BAT has been able to break into the South Eastern region by forming alliances with four of the region's five governors in order to help achieve the 25% vote prerequisite in 24 states required by INEC to be declared the victor of the elections. In addition to popular ballots, BAT has made South-South alliances with Wike in Rivers and established powerful organizations in Cross Rivers state.
NORTH, NIGERIA.
The cheatcode to winning elections in Nigeria is to capture the affections of Northerners, which is one of the many reasons why I detest our country's political architecture. If anything, the United States' electoral college method is ideal for Nigeria.
In the north, With Shettima as BAT's running mate, a man who is a political classmate of ATIKU under the great Shehu Yaradua political school of thought, and also a brother of Atiku from the same region as him, and from a state that has the highest voting strength in the North East, BAT has played his cards right to limit Atiku's influence in the region; he has the deficit checked. BAT will win with large majorities in Bornu, Shettima's home state, and Yobe state "A State The PDP Has Never Won," which will be enough to cover the deficit of the four other states won by Atiku in the area, though the margins of victory in those four states will be relatively close. The moniker Peter Obi would not even register in the figures we're talking about. Buruku Ibo
The North Central is the only area that is divided between the PDP and the APC, with the APC gaining ground in three states of the region through partnerships and structures, including Kogi, Kwara, and Niger.
In the North West, the APC governs 6 of the 7 states in the region and is structurally rooted in the region, the CPC and ANPP factions of the APC are big weights in the geopolitical zone, the PDP has been dampened by the emergence of Rabiu Kwankwaso as the Presidential candidate of the NNPP, Kwankwaso is a political structured bigwig in the region and his candidature is a huge blow to the PDP.
SOUTH WEST, NIGERIA.
Lagos, Ogun, Ekiti, Osun, Oyo, and Ondo? All of my assignments have been completed. Although, the extension of the South east and South south who are Lagosians will give ASIWAJU a tough fight in his country home, most especially places like Festac, Ajah, Amuwo odofin, Ojo and minute parts of Surulere will be overwhelmly won by Peter Obi, but the Jagaban would still have his way out with Alimosho which covers over 35% of Lagos State's population, a place often called "Tinubu's Country". At will, be unharmed, and climb through like Moses dividing the Red Sea.
Unfortunately, the accused drug trader and comedian have benefited from the Naira and gasoline scarcity as a crisis. The tribal card has been used to persuade his tribe's people that the nation's irregularities and unease are being orchestrated against the BAT movement as a solution to Nigeria's issues, LOL.
Atiku is comparatively unpopular in the South-West, with only a 25% increase in Osun and Oyo states, where the PDP is in power. Gov. Adeleke and Seyi Makinde of the PDP are tightly aligned with his kinsman, Bola Tinubu, which is a further setback for Atiku Abubakar.
WHY BAT WOULD LOSE.
Yes. This is almost certain to happen if the APC Northern structures and allies fail to produce for ASIWAJU, which is nearly impossible given the position of their own son, Kassim Shettima, as a contender against Atiku Abubakar, who comes from the North's minor portion.
Furthermore, Shettima represents the inherent worth and views of a typical Northerner rather than the UK Anglia ruskin graduate — ATIKU. This suggests that ATIKU is perceived as too much of an Elite by the Northerners, whereas Shettima, a rumored religious extremist, will be allowed a softer landing than ATIKU. You now understand why Shettima did not denounce Deborah's murder and why ATIKU was forced to remove his condemnation post about Deborah. Lol. That is how the North appears, utter ghetto. Dem haven't heard anything.
Lastly. Again, Mr. Rabiu Kwankwaso is a major decider in this election, and the addition of Peter Obi in the contest helps BAT. If Kwankwaso, like Peter Obi, stays in the air as a contender on election day without a breakdown of structure for either ATIKU or OBI, it's game over. But not for ASIWAJU.
Vote for HIM tomorrow in retaliation for the establishment. We're getting there.
Thank you for reading..
Tinubu for president tomorrow
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