What if teams had won the games they dominated?

When writing about Brighton in the final part of my Premier League review, I wondered what the Premier League table would have looked like if teams that had dominated matches had taken their chances and won these games.

So I visited a site that I enjoy a lot which provides Expected Goals data for every match and used this to provide a team's "Expected Points"...

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A few teams stand out for me here:

• Man City - Fully deserved to win the league
• Brighton - I said that they could consider themselves unlucky and this goes to show quite how unlucky they were. A 5th place finish and a spot in the Europa League
• Fulham - I enjoyed watching Fulham last season and felt that they didn't get the points their performances deserved. If they had, they'd still be in the Premier League next season
• Crystal Palace - I didn't enjoy watching Crystal Palace and am disappointed that they didn't get the points their performances deserved.

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What if Thomas Tuchel had been appointed sooner?

Tuchel was appointed on the 26th January and this is how the Premier League looked from this date on...

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Even taking into account that Chelsea played 1 fewer game than Man City, they weren't even close to catching Pep's men. An ominous omen for those wanting to catch Man City next season.

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What if Chris Wilder had left Sheffield United sooner?

Wilder left Sheffield United on 13th March and this is how the Premier League table looked after this...

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Sheffield United would still have been relegated and as much as anything else, this table shows how important it is to have a squad that keeps going until the final match.

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What if Cristiano Ronaldo and Lionel Messi played for Crystal Palace?

Source 1License 1Source 2License 2 + Lots of Photoshop

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What if there were no "big-6"?

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This table's a little outdated as it was created when there was talk of the European Super League but it does show how good West Ham and Leeds are against everybody else. For Leicester to finish as high as they did, it shows how well they've done against the top teams.

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What if there were only the "big-6"?

Po.	Team	Pl	W	D	L	F	A	Pts
1	Liverpool	10	6	2	2	18	11	20
2	Man City	10	5	2	3	14	9	17
3	Arsenal	10	4	1	5	8	12	13
4	Chelsea	10	3	3	4	6	10	12
5	Man Utd	10	2	5	3	8	11	11
6	Spurs	10	3	1	6	14	15	10

This surprised me slightly and given how far Liverpool were behind Man City, shows how many points they dropped against "lesser" teams.

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Euros Banner Images: source 1source 2 + lots of Photoshop