Bruno Fernandes deal represents massive gamble for United

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So it seems from what I've read on social media and blogs over the last few days that United fans are almost universally happy that they have signed Portuguese midfielder Bruno Fernandes for somewhere in the region of £65million. On the face of it, Fernandes who over the last 18 months has averaged the best part of a goal or assist per game is certainly the type of player that United require. However, looking a little more closely at his stats and the situation that he finds himself going into might calm some of the unabridged optimism flowing from some parts of Manchester as well as large sections of Dorset (a traditional stronghold for United fans).

Even Marcus Edwards scores in Portugal!

Yes, that's right, Tottenham's very own prodigal son, the Lionel Messi of Haringey is a force to be reckoned with in the Portuguese Primeira League. Indeed, if you take away the penalty kicks that Fernandes has scored for Sporting this year, then he averages a goal or an assist every 0.65 games compared to Marcus Edwards a man who wasn't deemed good enough for the Premier League who averages 0.45 goals or assists per 90mins. Add to that the fact that Edwards is plugging away at mid-table Vitoria-Guimaraes while Fernandes was plying his trade at one of the traditional big 3 in Portugal surrounded by a higher calibre of player and you can see what I'm angling at - either goals come a little more cheaply in Portugal or the entire English based scouting network was wrong and 20-year-old haircut on legs Marcus Edwards is the Messiah!

The defending looks about what you'd get if you set your game on FIFA to the easiest possible level

Fernandes the flat track bully

Here I'm borrowing a term from cricket that we use to describe a batsman who scores heavily when conditions are in his favour but tends to struggle when they are not. Fernandes, for example, has never scored or assisted in a game against consistant league challengers Porto. Similarly, he has scored just 1 and assisted 1 goal in the Champions League with both contributions coming against perennial whipping boys Olympiacos and even in the Europa League where his overall stats are once again very impressive, they are unpinned by multiple contributions against the likes of Vorskla, LASK and Qarabağ, the kind of teams that your average fan would struggle to point out on a map let alone tell you anything about their footballing prowess.

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It's a similar story at international level where Fernandes has contributed for Portugal in their last couple of games against minnows Luxembourg and Lithuania but failed to register a goal or an assist in the Nations League last year against the likes of Italy, Switzerland, The Netherlands and Poland. Even with inflated transfer fees, you would have thought that £65million would buy you a player with a little bit more of a proven track record at the very top.

A history of big-money flops

The pressure was on United Chairman Ed Woodward to bring in a big-money signing following a disappointing summer transfer window and the growing discontent amongst the fan base. Unfortunately, Woodward doesn't have a great record of getting success on the pitch when he opens his wallet as the likes of Sanchez, Pogba and Di Maria all players also brought to United to add creativity and goals have shown.

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Less the Theatre of Dreams and more the stuff of nightmares, United have invested in countless big money flops over recent seasons

To be fair, moving to Old Trafford has always been a challenge and even in the glory years under Ferguson, there were very few players who came in and made an instant impact with a good deal more never finding their feet at United. Of course, back then The Red Devils had a settled and successful squad that could absorb a player coming in and needing some time to come to terms with his new surroundings but things look very different these days and Fernandes will be expected to have an immediate impact on a side whose season threatens to dissolve into mediocrity once again. With Solksjaer and Woodward already feeling the wrath of the United faithful it is hardly the ideal situation for any player to come into let alone one who is going to have to adapt to a different culture and league with the added pressure of a massive transfer fee hanging over his head.

For me the Fernandes signing represents less of a calculated purchase and more of a last roll of the dice by a chairman and a manager who could well be out of a job soon if their punt doesn't pay off.

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I quite enjoyed your analysis but I beg to differ slightly. Bruno Fernandes was definitely not a signing made out of desperation but a calculated risk considering Pogba will/might be leaving in the summer.

Watching him today made was a clear indication of what we have been missing in the midfield. Someone with an eye for a pass, a killer shot and quick on the turn.

However, he is equally plagued by the dire lack of quality around him, Solskjaer having to push him back alongside Fred mid-game after it was definitively clear how shambolic Perreira was in the same position.

Unfortunately, that meant his effectiveness was limited until the final periods of the game where Wolves looked to sit back, wasted time on the fouls as Fred and Fernandes pushed higher up the pitch.

Cannot wait to see him in a midfield with Pogba and McTominay/Matic, with the freedom of the attacking third.

Can't wait to see Spurs' Fernandes and Bergwijn in action against City too. ;)

I wonder why it was then that United didn’t complete the signing in the summer? Pogba had already said he wanted to leave and as you’ve said United are short of quality. I reckon they thought the price they were quoted was too far over the odds for a player with Fernandes lack of experience in a top league. They’ve only paid it now because they’re desperate!

I’m more excited to see Lo Celso against City tomorrow. If Spurs can get him and N’Dombele fit and firing and get a quality defensive midfielder in the summer then we’ll have one the best midfields in the league. Lo Celso is 2 years younger than Fernandes, he’s come from a higher quality league where he was successful and he cost half as much!

United are all over the place. The thing is, he might be a fantastic player but the whole club is toxic from top to bottom so ability alone probably isn't enough at the moment.

Let's not forget that he's now being instructed by one of the worst managers in the league and is playing with the likes of Fred.

Haha Fred, another classic United signing. I wonder if other chairman around the country have a kind of a sweep stake to see which over rated player they can drive the price up on next for United?

It's genuinely baffling how these guys are paid so much to get all the obvious stuff wrong. I reckon they'll dance around signing Maddison in the summer and will end up paying massive cash for Rice or someone.

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