The Fate of an Empire
Let's see what the fate of an empire is, what tends to happen with every empire, all the time, throughout all of history:
British Empire
Mongol Empire
Russian Empire
Qing dynasty
Spanish Empire
Second French colonial empire
Abbasid Caliphate
Umayyad Caliphate
Yuan dynasty
Portuguese Empire
Xiongnu Empire
Empire of Brazil
Eastern Han Dynasty
Ming dynasty
Rashidun Caliphate
Göktürk Khaganate
Golden Horde Khanate
Western Han Dynasty
Achaemenid Empire
Tang dynasty
Macedonian Empire
Ottoman Empire
Maurya Empire
Roman Empire
Tibetan Empire
Timurid Empire
Fatimid Caliphate
Eastern Turkic Khaganate
Hephthalite Empire
Hunnic Empire
Mughal Empire
Great Seljuq Empire
Seleucid Empire
Italian Empire
Ilkhanate
Khwarazmian Empire
Chagatai Khanate
Gupta Empire
Sasanian Empire
Western Turkic Khaganate
First French colonial empire
Ghaznavid Empire
Delhi Sultanate
German colonial empire
Song dynasty
Uyghur Khaganate
Western Jin dynasty
Khazar Khanate
Sui Dynasty
(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_largest_empires)
These are just the largest ones, there were many many more, see complete list here
Well, they are all gone!
All of them, all of them are gone!
No matter how big, or how strong, or how sophisticated, or how civilized it was. It all came in all forms, and sizes. But they have all gone, all of them. All empires throughout history have all been destroyed, eventually.
It doesn't matter how much force they use to control their subjects, it doesn't matter how many rights or autonomies they give to more angry provinces, and it doesn't matter how well they mean. All empires have gone away.
European Union
The EU is another pathetic attempt to create an empire in Europe. It's basically an empire, that is what it is. You have 1 central bureaucracy, that commands & controls 28 provinces.
So what do you think the fate of the EU will be? And they are really idiots if you think about it. Most empires at least gave some autonomy to the provinces, to prevent them from uprising.
For example the Mongol empire was a huge empire, encompassing almost all Asia and Europe. It would have been literally impossible to rule from a capital, so they gave some autonomy rights to local provinces to try to satisfy them. A loose federation of the sorts, but it still didn't work out. Because if you give them too much freedom, then they will leave. If you give them too little freedom, then they will revolt, and destroy all of it.
The EU bureaucrats are even more moronic, since they don't even attempt to give any rights to the member states. They are just centralizing power, hoping that nobody will care.
Basically their strategy is to keep the population oblivious enough with things like “bread and circus” like Eurovision, until they gain total power, and create an army to crush dissenters:
What the hell do you think the purpose of the EU army will be? To fight against Russia? Nope. It will be used to crush dissent, inside the empire, like every other empire has done it, throughout the history of mankind.
So yes now you can have Brexit and Frexit, with just a few paperworks. But trust me later on, if they get their hands on an army, it will turn into a civil war. It will be just like the American Civil war, federalists vs secessionists.
And you can only rule an empire for so long, it doesn't really matter what tools you use to control, in the middle ages it was the mace, the halberd and the arrow, now it's the tax form the microphone and the newspaper.
As I said, it doesn't matter what sophisticated tools the tyrants use, at the end of the day it all comes down to social control. And that has always failed. The Romans tried to bribe barbarian provinces with welfare and "bread and circus". The Brits tried to give "culture" to the primitives in Africa. The EU tries to give "a home" to the Europeans. It won't work.
People have a tendency to go for decentralization of power, and the more the tyrants fight against it, the more they show their true faces and accelerate the process.
If they had any amount of historical knowledge, at least they would have set up the EU as a confederation, that would give it at least 100 years of lifetime. But in the current structure, I doubt the EU will last more than 30 years.
Sources:
https://pixabay.com
By UnknownTill Niermann (Own work) GFDL, CC-BY-SA-3.0 or CC BY-SA 2.5, via Wikimedia Commons
The Iron Law might have something to do with it.
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