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RE: Worlds together, worlds apart - Nuclear Paradox

in #history • 6 years ago (edited)

I was just curious about this

Russia is considering new doctrine of possible isolated preemptive nuclear strikes at military facilities.

Is this the opinion of an analysist because I could not find any official russian statements about it.

Btw the doomsday clock is a bit more general: it represents how far we are away of a man-made global doom scenario

6 years ago in #history by
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     6 years ago 

    Regarding Russia's doctrine shift:

    Russia’s Interest in and Plans for Decisive Limited Nuclear Use

    Less well understood but possibly of greater relevance, however, is Russia’s interest in and development of capabilities for more limited nuclear use. Moscow is aware of its only partial success in fielding a modern conventional military and of that force’s imperfect ability to challenge the forces of the United States and NATO in a broader conflict as well as of the relatively narrow relevance of its strategic nuclear forces in situations short of the apocalyptic.

    https://www.frstrategie.org/publications/notes/russia-s-evolving-nuclear-doctrine-and-its-implications-2016-01

    Yes, you are right, doomsday clock nowadays also considers other scenarios such as climate change. However, 2018 change to 2 minutes still was mainly about US vs Russia conflict.

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     6 years ago (edited)

    Thanks for the source. That is an analyst's report not a kremlin source. As far as I gather from the news the kremlin's official stance has always been to use them defensively and not preemtively.

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     6 years ago 

    Yes you are right again (sort of). Preemptively, I meant as a first nuclear striker, however as a response to conventional military attack. Escalate-to-deescalate is a significant shift nevertheless.

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