Winter is coming...Ethereum to $475 by June 21st

in #ethereum7 years ago

Ethereum is going to spike to the high 400s in less than 7 days. I'm not a professional trader, so my advice isn't worth anything...except hopefully an up-vote! I'm just stating my opinion and hoping for feedback. There are 4 reasons why I think Ether is going to that level within 7 days (June 21st); BAT ICO, Bancor ICO, Status ICO, and Civic ICO.

BAT ICO

The Basic Attention Token (BAT) team has some big names behind it! The founder of BAT is Brendan Eich, who created JavaScript and co-founded Firefox. That name alone is worth some dough. Team BAT has created a browser that blocks all ads and makes the user experience faster and more enjoyable. The idea for the BAT token is to create an ecosystem between the user, advertiser, and publisher. Advertisers pay using BAT tokens, users and publishers get a piece of that. It's essentially a digital advertising token. Everyone wins except Facebook and Google if the idea takes off.

Why does all of that matter? The BAT ICO was on May 31st. There was a cap of $35-36 million USD and Ethereum was the coin investors had to use. BAT hit their $35-36 cap in just 24 seconds! As pessimistic as I am, I tried to get in on that ICO...along with everybody else. There aren't many ICOs where the founder(s) is known and not of questionable character. On May 31st, Ethereum price spiked to around $230...it was around mid 100s in the days leading up the ICO.

Bancor ICO

Team Bancor also has some big names behind it. The founders started a few successful companies in the past...maybe not quite as big as Firefox and JavaScript. One of their big investors is Tim Draper...the billionaire who famously bought 30,000 bitcoin back in 2014 from the US Marshalls. With those names, it really doesn't even matter what Bancor does.

What Bancor does it is interesting though. The Bancor protocol enables the Bancor token to be the super coin!! It's allows conversion into other coins. It's purpose is similar to exchanges today like Poloniex or Bittrex, except it claims it's algorithm will allow for trading low volume currencies at a proper price. Whether it works or not is irrelevant for now.

The point I am trying to make is that Bancor blew the BAT ICO out of the water. It was YUUUGE! Instead of having a hard cap on the ICO, Bancor set a hidden cap...but no cap whatsoever for the first hour. They raised $150 million in the first hour, all in Ethereum. What did the Ether price do leading up the Bancor ICO on Monday, June 12th? It went from mid 200s up to as high as $412 around the ICO time. It has calmed down since to the mid-high 300s.

This was a big ICO, which basically froze Coinbase. Coinbase seems to freeze a lot, somebody over there tell them how to scale properly so they don't miss out on transaction fees during the freezes...but that's a rant for another day! The average 24 hour Ethereum trading volume spike 3x it's normal amount...even surpassing bitcoin's 24 hour volume in the 2-3 days leading up to the Bancor ICO.

Sadly, I missed this ICO also. I wanted to get in, but had my times mixed up...and was working, so sad.

Image of chart
This is the Ethereum to Bitcoin chart to show the sharp rises leading up to the ICOs.

Status ICO

The Status is an open source messaging and browser that interacts with dapps that run on Ethereum. And you can mine on your phone! The idea sounds interesting for sure...seems to be some buzz on the street. The names behind it are not big, from what I can see. They aren't completely unknown (maybe). The founders previously co-founded Opulence...which I've never heard of. But the idea is interesting, and a lot of people missed out on Bancor/BAT ICO and are just dying throw money at an ICO that sounds halfway decent.

Will I invest? Yes...I'll invest a small amount, just to see how it feels. Will Coinbase freeze from this ICO...probably not, it doesn't sound like it will be in the same realm as Bancor.

https://contribute.status.im/

Civic ICO

Civic has big names behind it. Vinny Lingham is the founder, he also founded Gyft, which is a popular gift card trading site. He may also have silicon valley investors ready to invest, if they haven't already done so. Civic aims to provide low cost identify verification via the blockchain. Will this finally kill the Humaniq token? Hopefully...I can't watch anymore videos of that horrible business plan.

Civic's ICO starts on June 21st. They have mediocre sized names behind it and an interesting idea. It's not clear to me what their cap is for the ICO. If they have learned anything from the Bancor and BAT ICO, they'll make it uncapped for a set time frame. Depending on the ICO terms, this one could be as big as Bancor. I will definitely try to get into this ICO.
https://tokensale.civic.com/

Winter is coming, Coinbase will freeze over for this ICO.

Conclusion

Between the 2 upcoming ICOs in the next 7 days, and many people missing out on BAT/Bancor ICOs, there should be an increased demand for Ethereum (starting in a day or two). Besides investing in those 2 upcoming ICOs, I'm also going to increase my Ethereum position to prepare for the spike.

Will you be investing in Civic and Status ICOs? Please let me know if you agree or think I'm crazy.
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Lucky enough to have a heads up on the first two ICOs these other two I didnt hear of but I am checking them out.

A major part of ETH growth seems to be its smart contracts and how people can now invest into other startups which increases the value of it drastically.

Good insights and I hope to see us a $475 that would be awesome ;)

I hope you're right! Check out my write up on my favorite cryptos of 2018!

Agree with 3 of your 5 favorite! Not so sure about the business model behind Golem/Sia...great ideas though.

"BAT ICO, Bancor ICO, Status ICO, and Civic ICO.." but ETH is getting worse with every ICO. And here's why.

Couldn't agree more. What will be the next ICO token? I'm hoping Waves can alleviate some of the congestion or maybe something new will come out of nowhere.

Lucky enough to have a heads up on the first two ICOs these other two I didnt hear of but I am checking them out.

A major part of ETH growth seems to be its smart contracts and how people can now invest into other startups which increases the value of it drastically.

So much for those ICOs. Low cap and impossible to get into!

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