EOS - Smart Investment Strategy

When you think of investing in EOS you wonder, how will 1billion tokens sale would go?.

At the very beginning, the first 20% sale would capture lots of those that are dumping coins with no proper analysis.. ok I get it.
Immediately after you have the opportunity to buy those tokens on the spot at a known price in an exchange so I wonder: Why would you by during the daily crowd sale not knowing what price you are going to get if you can by at a price that will be close to whatever the daily sale dictates?.

Can that happens that one day, after 5 months of collecting.. there are new ICOS coming and not too much eth comes into the daily sale and therefore the price of EOS suddenly plunge?.

Can the 1Billion Tokens be really sold at 3 dollars each consistently during the year if there is no real platform available?.

I may be wrong but let's say that 1billion tokens is 10 times the number of Ethers available... so if 1 EOS goes up to 27 it'll match the market cap of ETH even if there is NO REAL platform available?. So don't you think that paying 3 dollars each at this point is crazy money because that gives you only with a future potential of only 10X?

These are just thoughts but I believe 3 dollars each at this very early stage does not give too much room for leverage and if I'm going to buy hoping that next year it may be 10X there are so many other coins that can do that?

thoughts?