Warning! The REAL Effects of a Minimum Wage Hike

in #economy7 years ago (edited)

I want to tell you a little story. It all takes place in a little neighborhood gym in Washington state.

Minwage.jpg
Image Credit: Chrislocurto.com

For all of you who are unfamiliar, the population voted (by a 57% to 42% margin) on a minimum wage increase that took effect in January 2017. This legislation raised the state minimum wage from $9.47 to $11 per hour. It is also set to raise the wage again Jan 2018 to $11.50, $12 in 2019, and $13.50 in 2020.

Political commentary aside, let's take a look at the effects of this minimum wage increase from the viewpoint of this tiny neighborhood gym:

  • One member specifically stated that his job at the local diner was cut from 35+ hours a week to less than 30, so he could no longer afford his $25 per month membership
  • While others never stated it specifically, the gym lost another few dozen members due to "financial hardship"
  • The gym had hired a local high school girl to clean the gym 10 hours a week--she had to be let go
  • Electricity and natural gas prices increased due to "maintenance costs associated with minimum wage increase"...so the gym had to adjust the temperature inside the gym to reduce costs
  • The janitorial supply company increased their prices by 20-30%, citing increased wages and fleet maintenance costs...so the gym had to reduce the services and supplies provided by the janitorial supply company.
  • Hours were cut for the general manager to reduce payroll expenses
  • Available hours were reduced for personal training staff, so they now need to "donate" their free time to gain personal training clients

Minimum-Wage.jpg
Image credit: baltrimorerising.org

Those examples showed some actions the gym had to take to reduce expenses.
Each of these actions resulted in second and third order effects that also have an impact on the economy:

  • The member who could no longer afford his membership actually voted for the wage increase, not knowing it could result in a reduction of his hours. Last I heard, he was searching for another job to pick up more hours
  • Many members who could no longer afford the gym memberships ended up moving to another city to look for a higher paying job...this effects local tax base and workforce
  • The high school girl that cleaned the gym had to look for another job...there were no part time jobs available to her because no shop would hire her since she is under 18. She did pick up a seasonal job on an orchard, but went 5 months without work before finding it
  • Electricity and natural gas...there isn't much else I can do but try to reduce my costs where possible, but the less I spend on energy leads to less revenue for utility companies and they may need to reduce their fixed manpower costs
  • The janitorial supply company...I've had to reduce my expenses, which includes the door mat laundering service, paper towel supplies and shower sanitation service. Further cuts may be needed as I control those expenses. I am also looking into sourcing my supplies outside of that company. If other companies are doing the same, the janitorial supply company may lose significant revenue and wind up reducing hours or laying people off. This also reduces the amount spent in the economy by those laid off workers
  • General manager's hours are cut...less income to her, so less she is spending in the economy
  • Reduced personal training hours...trainers may need to pick up a second job to make ends meet. This makes it very difficult for them to ever create a steady client base, forcing them to maintain hours in a part time job...it's a vicious circle

how-the-minimum-wage-works-comic.png

Again, these are just some observations on a local business. The owner has not drawn a salary in 2+ years because the gym cannot afford it. So before you mention anything about the owner hogging the profits, I can assure you that is not the case. In this case, the owner is taking all cost saving measures he can think of, but expenses continue to rise.

This is a simple example of the domino effect of legislation. Before voting, try to remember to think about the overall effect of that legislation and not just about how it impacts you individually, because I guarantee you even if it doesn't impact you directly, it will likely impact you indirectly.

STEEM ON!

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I had this discussion with friend's and they just don't get it!I think I will print this out and show them.

Thanks! I hope it will help open their eyes. In some services and supplies, I experienced a 20-30% jump in prices. While a small portion of that may have been the company using the rate hike to charge a little more, I do believe that costs have increased across the board. It just sucks because some business can't change their pricing too much else they lose customers in droves. Thanks for helping share the truth.

Raising the minimum wage also costs the employer more than just the hourly wage increase. It also raises the FICA taxes, unemployment tax, and workers compensation charges. Those are all percentages of the hourly wage. That $1.13 per hour bring a $0.09 cent raise in FICA taxes. My business also pays close to 3% of the hourly wage in unemployment and a little over 1.5% of the hourly wage in workers compensation. Those add up very quickly. There is also additional federal taxes on unemployment that are paid yearly. What I am trying to say is this minimum wage increase costs a lot more than just the hourly cost shown. Presumably a lot of the businesses also match 401k contributions and offer other benefits. Many of those are also calculated by a percentage of the hourly wage. In effect the business owner is subsidizing a series of tax increases, insurance premium increases and Wall Street managers with this legislation as well. I'm sure the business owner would prefer to be able to make those decisions voluntarily.

You raise some awesome points, @penname! I forgot to mention that even though there is no "income tax" in Washington state, the company also pays a (now higher) percentage of the wages paid out. In effect, the company pays the income tax instead of the wage-earner.
Yes, the federal taxes and other state mandated taxes (L&I, unemployment, etc...) definitely add up and have increased since the wage has also increased. Great input!

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Fantastic article.
This is something that a lot of people do not fully understand yet. A lot more peoplr will learn about this through experience...the sad thing is, thats the point where its too late.
Thanks for this post.
Im going to resteemit

Thank you @revelationquotes! I agree, we are now stuck "holding the bag" to deal with the consequences of the legislation that was passed. What is sad is that many people who voted for the law will fail to see that it was the law that made the situation worse. Or they will blame it on "corporate greed" because the business had to do what it had to do just to meet its margins and in some cases, just to stay open. Thanks for the resteem!

Great article. We have very much the same problem here in South Africa. Minimum wage hikes coupled with crazy fuel prices that is loaded with with so many taxes has made our daily living expenses go through the roof. Here and in the US they are making slaves out of the major population to fund their own pockets and the man on the street is the one suffering. There are few countries in europe that has somehow found the right formula and everybody seems to be benefitting from a system with low taxes and money spent on education and services with a minimum wage that gives dignity to any person working with the ability to buy a house .....car......enough food to feed their families. It all starts with a more caring society where you actually care if your neighbour has food on the table or not and then improving the system to ensure that everybody can live a happy.....healthy life because we only have ONE

Great analysis! As economist Milton Friedman said, “One of the great mistakes is to judge policies and programs by their intentions rather than their results.” Even though raising the minimum wage appears to be well-intentioned, the outcome tends to be the opposite of its professed aims: decreased employment (especially for entry-level jobs) and a weakened economy.

Thanks for sharing.

Thanks for that quote! That's exactly right. I originally wrote this post to vent my frustrations about my janitorial supplies going up, then the more I started thinking about it, the more it started becoming apparent that if I am reducing my spending because of price hikes, I'm probably not the only business doing it.
While I was against the wage hike to begin with, I'm able to see the affects more and more. The restaurant next door used to fill the parking lot most evenings...especially on Taco Tuesday..tacos for only a dollar. Since the wage increase, the tacos have risen in price to $1.25. Not a huge increase, but as a result, the parking lot hasn't been nearly as full, so revenues are likely down...which I'm sure will affect the employees there. I already know they closed the place down early one night (at least, the one night I was walking in) because only 3 people were in there. But I also wonder, if they raised the price on the tacos, how many other menu item prices were also increased?

Very true, and just imagine: if you can already observe and experience local changes to business revenue, just imagine what the repercussions must be on a macroscopic scale!

Are they still calling those $1.25 tacos $1 tacos on their advertisements? Haha, some places are sneaky like that.

Exactly. And just think, the full effects of a slowing economy have not even started being felt yet!
LOL and no on the tacos....they just say "Taco Tuesday" and then bait and switch after you walk through the door!! :-)

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I agree with this as this has had the same effects here since minimum wage went up by 2$ here and tons of mom and pop shops have closed. Also doesnt help with the cycle of having useless made up degrees in college people come out with almost no job to use towards it then with the debt take on a job like McD's then want more money cause degree.

Yes, the workforce is "smarter" but with less experience. And since I need people with legitimate training certifications, the degree doesn't mean much to me. Yet folks look down on trade jobs because they don't require a huge student loan. I think I need to side with Mike Rowe on this one and start encouraging folks to look at community college or trade schools versus getting a Bachelors right out of High School.

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