How to spot a fixed match in sports betting

HOW TO IDENTIFY A FIXED MATCH IN SPORTS BETTING.
With billions of dollars in illegal soccer bets exchanged every year and allegations of match-fixing rife, the punters are often at the losing end whereas the bookmakers are having the last laugh.

The mafias and underground syndicates are often behind the fixing of soccer matches. 

FIFA, the governing body of world soccer, decided that it had to act to protect the game from corruption after being shaken by recent match-fixing scandals in Germany, Italy and Brazil.

Since Asian World Cup qualifying campaign started, the fixed match issue has gained more urgency. Gambling is widespread in Asia and Asian leagues have been battling match-fixing for years.

In early year 2008, Interpol announced the results of a crackdown on illegal soccer gambling across Asia. Interpol's secretary general, Ronald Noble, told a conference in Singapore that the authorities had shut down 272 underground gambling dens handling $650 million in illegal bets. Feldner said, "The gray market in Asia - this is a big problem."

Unlike individual sports, team sports like soccer are more difficult to fix.

"There are 22 players, 4 officials, 2 coaching staffs, substitutes - that's a high number of people you have to get at to fix a game," said Herren, the FIFA spokesman. "Plus, the more people you try to bribe, the more chances you have of being exposed."

But the more people you bribe, the more chances you have of the outcome you want.

William Gaillard, a spokesman for UEFA, the governing body of European soccer, said: "One person is not enough - you need to bribe three or four at least. The games we have doubts about are never the big games - those are too expensive to fix. What are you going to offer a player who makes €4 million a year? It's always lower division games, maybe where two clubs have already qualified, a game that's not televised."

As we all know, it is easier to lose a game than to win it. Hence, goalies and defenders are the more obvious targets to bribe when you fixed a match.

Late bets, heavy bets, late and heavy underdog bets; high or low scoring; surprising draws; wide swings in the quality of play; odd or inexplicable referee calls - all of these can prompt monitors to take a closer look at a match.

FIFA's president, Sepp Blatter, has often pointed to referees as a possible weak link because they are the lowest-paid people on the field. FIFA has a monitoring system that evaluates referees' performances and removes those prone to error, said Herren, the FIFA spokesman, but "not even the best ref is protected from making a blunder."

At the 2006 World Cup, security guards were posted outside the referees' hotel, no direct outside calls to their rooms were allowed, and FIFA doubled their tournament pay to $40,000. Herren expects refs to earn even more at the next World Cup.

How do you identify whether a match is fixed?

If the goal came very early during the first ten minutes of kick off, then it is possible that the match is fixed. They will score at the most unimaginable timing like within 30 seconds or 3 mins are common signs.

Pay attention to the speed of both team players. The team that will lose will tend to run at slower pace than the opposition. Less reluctance and no determination to win.

Another point to note is the team that is fixed to win they will be proactive and fight with all their might to get to the ball. Whereas, the one that is fixed to lose {note this also refers to team that gives ball but unable to clear the Asian Handicap} will miss even inches infront of the goal post. Sometimes the team that is fixed to lose will even score for the next team that is the own goal or they will appear disorganised at the defence showing no effort in stopping the attack.

Not all footballers are great actors so pay close attention to their body language, they will display great agonies while missing clear cut shots but their eyes are secretly laughing away some even had difficulty in controlling their facial expression ,occasionally they subconsciously look into the camera before diverting their eyes swiftly away.

The coach decision to remove key players from the team substituting with a less superior player. Consider this why would a coach remove that particular key striker that has just scored the crucial goal and try to defend the 1 goal lead well within the early 50 or 60 mins. However, it may be justified if the player is suffering from an injury.

Biased and unfair refeering decision. Legitimate goals are claimed as off-side, or a clear penalty given as no foul are common signs of fixed matches. Giving unneceessary penalty to a team that when there is no professional foul.

What to do when you suspect it is a fixed match?

Avoid betting heavy stakes during live betting. Try to observe 1st half before you bet, it is advisable to bet during the 2nd half as that is the time when the bookies tricks reveal itself.

Do not trust what you see in the 1st half as what is obvious is often a trap. For example, a team can have many attacking opportunities in 1st half through free kicks, corners etc. But during 2nd half they can easily concede a goal and lost the match!

The odds posted are often set in a way to trap the novice punters , so try to put yourself into the shoes of a bookmaker and you will see a much clearer picture.

Past Soccer News of Fixed Matches
May 9, 2008

Portuguese champions FC Porto have been barred from competing in next season's Champions League over a match-fixing scandal, European football's governing body UEFA said on Wednesday.

"The UEFA Control and Disciplinary Body has decided FC Porto will not be admitted to the 2008/09 UEFA Champions League after studying a matter involving alleged bribery of referees in Portuguese domestic matches in 2003/04," UEFA said in a statement.

A brief statement on the club's website read: 'FC Porto and their president have been notified by the Portuguese Professional Football League (LPFP) of the accusations and investigations concerning matches between FC Porto and Estrela da Amadora, and Beira Mar and FC Porto.'

Last month, Porto were found guilty by the Portuguese league of fixing two league matches in 2003/04, the same season they won the Champions League - the world's richest club competition.

As a result the club was fined 150,000 euros, docked six points, the club's president Jorge Pinto da Costa was suspended for two years and Boavista were relegated to the second division for their part in match-fixing.

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April 26, 2008

The Malaysian FA has threatened to suspend major domestic and international competitions in the country over a match-fixing scandal that has rocked local football.

The Football Association of Malaysia (FAM) deputy president Khairy Jamaluddin said he would have no hesitation in halting June's Malaysia Cup and an Under-23 international tournament next month should more match-fixing cases emerge within the next two weeks, The Star newspaper reported on Saturday.

Malaysian police and the Anti-Corruption Agency are investigating alleged match-fixing in the Super League and on Thursday detained five current and one former player from the Sarawak team.

Also under investigation is fellow Super League side Police FA for "poor performances". Sarawak are bottom of the 13-team league while Police are 11th.

"The nation's image will be tarnished if any of the national players are hauled up by the authorities during this international (under-23) tournament," Khairy was quoted by The Star as saying.

This is the third big match-fixing scandal to hit Southeast Asia in April.

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April 3, 2008

Asian Football Confederation chief Mohamed bin Hammam on Thursday called match-fixing a "cancer" that is destroying the game after an illegal approach to players in Singapore.

His comments follow allegations that two players of Maldives side Victory SC were approached on Tuesday night to throw their AFC Cup match here against Singapore's Home United.

Singapore's Corrupt Practices Investigation Bureau and the AFC are now investigating after being alerted by the Football Association of Singapore (FAS).

Home United won Wednesday night's game 2-1.

Local reports said Argentinians Marcos Aguirre and Luciano Theiler were approached by an unidentified man at the Royal Hotel where the Maldives team was staying.

They declined his offers to throw the match and reported the matter to team officials who in turn informed the FAS.
Etc.