Scarcity and the commodification of talent
Gold, oil, Steem. Limited resources and the greater the demand pressure on them, the higher the price. If any of them were were found in abundance, their price will be close to zero. The diamond market is of such that the supply is restricted by companies like De Beers to create engineered scarcity to make a diamond ring appear valuable. If they release their complete holdings, it is likely they will be little more valuable than their utility demands.
Nearly all things deemed scarce are asymmetrically overpriced, whether it be the paintings of a famous artist or the ivory tusks of an elephant, the impression of 'limited supply' pushes willingness to pay upward. People will hunt an animal to extinction because the scarcer it gets, the more people want it. Quite ridiculous really.
I put skill into this category and, I put it into the endangered category. Although not critically endangered yet, society's push for a continual dumbing down of abilities and ramping up of consumerism means the pool is shrinking.
There are many reasons for this from the increase in competitive cognitive artifacts introduced and marketed heavily, to the desire for leisure and entertainment activities over the action of work. But, in this there is opportunity to be gained, as there always is with a shrinking pool. Those that are pushing to increase skills as others are diminishing will be in high demand as long as the skills they develop have utility in the future.
When it comes to skillsets for future employment and revenue stream activities, if not useful nor value adding, it will have very low demand unless one is highly specialised, very talented and can attract a dedicated niche market. The low-talent, high demand skills will have flash in the pan success, like Yo-Yos or Tamagochis.
Many of the first users here who now enjoy high support will also somewhat struggle in the future as those with much higher talents come onto the platform in various fields. We can already see this happening to some extent as the ecosystem changes. If they have sold their stake instead of buying Steem Power expecting that the support will always be there, they are going to find the future tough and likely, emotionally rough.
The reason is that even those with stake or who can buy-in are going to be attracted to support those with talent or mainstream potential and audience pull which means, they will slowly remove their support from those without. It is human nature to a large degree, support what the masses support. Listen to Justin Bieber and you will witness this.
It isn't that there won't be space for many, but definitely not much for untalented or ubiquitous content. Scarcity of talent requires skills higher than those surrounding and even slight differences matter. There are many, many good football players in the world, not many of them will earn millions, play in a World Cup match or in a champions league. Is this what is best for the platform in the long-run, for the price of Steem, yes.
What I am hoping however is that the highly supported will not be so because of their fame like Justin Bieber, they will be supported because of their talent. But, my secondary hope is that people from a very wide and diverse set of talents and levels have the ability to earn something, as long as they themselves are looking to increase their talent and support others doing the same.
At the moment, we are living largely in an attention economy where it is a 'Grab attention at any cost' mentality, even if what is placed in front of eyes is harmful for the long-term view of society. Perhaps if rather than paying attention to the attention grabbing content, people shifted their attention to the talented, yet less engineered contributors, the world would be a better place to occupy.
At Steem, we have a golden opportunity to develop a spiraling platform that creates a habitat for talent to develop and thrive and rather than be manipulated by the promoters on what is valuable, we can become sensitive again to our individual tastes. With diversity of individual interest and support, there may be less high peak earners but the spread will be much wider and at a greater depth.
If those with stake are looking long-term, they will support others looking long-term also by using their stake to develop users who are talented and looking to make this place a home, rather than those who use it as a cash cow to be milked. In the past, I used to think that the big, early users cashing out was a bad thing however I have changed over time.
The more those higher up the pecking order but devoid of community spirit sell their stake, the lower their future stake will be and the more opportunity for large smart investors and smaller users like myself will have to influence the system. The more this happens, the more decentralized Steem becomes and the more powerful the community is as a whole. This will also increase the overall reach of Steem and the potential for it to do localized good will attract more users to invest themselves in.
My goal besides increasing my own talent levels here and in real-life, is to build stake to have a voice and help others to find theirs. My way to build stake is through offering support in various ways and hoping that some long-term investors see the value and support me to push wider and further. Other people will hopefully use their skills and talents in diverse ways to support in a wide range of methods.
In the long-run, whether it be here with Steem or in the real-world, it will be the talented who offer utility of skillset that will likely be valuable to society and have the range and possibility to work, earn and help many more than just their localised circle. Those that are offering nothing more than entertainment value will slowly be throttled as what they offer will not be able to keep up with the changing trends and levels of competition, nor be deemed valuable enough to support as the market is overrun with the knockoffs willing to do it better for cheaper.
We all have the opportunity to improve at what we do and, we all have the opportunity to help others in some way. This does not mean that we all have the opportunity to be trending or consistently get high levels of support as no system can maintain it. There is a balance point somewhere though where the maximum amount of people get the maximum amount of opportunity. Finding it is the challenge.
One thing must remain consistent here in my opinion, the spreading of wealth cannot be done through charity and rules only, a significant amount of the wealth should be earned by talented users working for it by helping others build their talents. I think that as we move forward, we will see more talent both develop and come into the system and hopefully one day, there will be no question as to who is deserving of support, as it will be obvious by how much support they give.
One thing that I didn't mention when it comes to building skills. Yes, they can be leveraged as a commodity to earn with of course, but there is also a personal satisfaction and quality of life value associated with improving oneself and likely more so when that growth improves the experience of others as well.
There are so many pathways here. Experiment and find yours.
Taraz
[ a Steem original ]
Well there will be a paradigm shift of steem power to people who actually care about the place and are willing to reward those talented users, matter of fact this is already happening.
We only hope that the platform continues to thrive
I think it won't just be on steem. There is going to be a widening of the skill gaps I think where many people will chose easier to obtain skills with fewer being highly talented in more scarce but difficult areas. It is going to get interesting once it is compunded with other cultural shifts like emotional control, diet, exercise and critical thought.
Agreed. Best to prime ourselves/children to learning those difficult skills...they're going to pay off soon
yep. I think the best process is to help kids develop the skills to learn as early as possible so they are able to pick up what they need when they need it more easily. It is hard at this point to predict exactly what they will require but institutional education will fail more and more to meet needs.
There will always be a demand for Steem. As this ecosystem has an extremely powerful financial layer built in. So there will always be a floor for how low things can go. Since many are ready to stock up on more Steem if it goes down.
Since they have invested months/years into this place. It cannot fail actually. As you say the Stake value will trickle down for every day that goes. Especially to people that finds ways to produce more value on a daily basis.
Always experimenting lol. When you are this small you have to have a dip at everything.My whole aim was to catch the users who started a year ahead of me and I am closing the gaps now.
out of curiosity, are your curation returns still a bit up?
Slightly. They have dropped but it could be down to bad timing. I have thought about using steem auto for the usual suspects lol. I tend to see your posts after it's gone past the 15 minutes and it makes a huge difference. 12 minutes looks like the best time to vote at the moment. Have yours dropped?
Yes they have but I think they are still up about 10% or so. I think there are a a number of factors in play including people voting early like 12 minutes thinking that 20% of the curation goes back into the pool that way (but this is small) but still that larger accounts are unable to take as much curation as they once did. This works out better for the smaller accounts.
I noticed that if I voted on 15 minutes I got crumbs but at 12/13 minutes it was 3 or 4 times more. I am still up but not doing what I should but it is minimal and maybe losing 1 or 2 SP per week.
try setting the auto on some.
Problem is it is hard to gauge as when you are growing so fast and not growing curation you are going backwards.I have noticed because I have nearly doubled in 3 weeks and my curation hasn't really gone up. Will actually do steem auto now before I forget.
@tarazkp,
A well-written post.
There is, however, a fly in the ointment.
Your premise is predicated upon a "free and fair marketplace." That is, a marketplace where reward freely flows to the content in highest demand (the best quality as determined by the honest cumulative assessment of the audience).
That is NOT the situation we have on Steemit at present. As is self-evident to anyone with eyes, the system is rigged is numerous ways to ensure those with large stakes accumulate the vast majority of the rewards, irrespective of quality.
Quality is of almost no consequence, nor is audience demand. Shakespeare returned from the grave could not make money on Steemit without a substantial stake with which to manipulate market forces.
It requires an IQ of approximately 2 to understand that this will drive away quality content creators and, ultimately, cause the blockchain to collapse. While all of Steemit's systemic problems could be easily solved (I recently wrote a couple articles explaining precisely how to do it), it would require the support of large stakeholders with their large voting power. Alas, these are precisely the people who are benefiting from the currently corrupted system.
Technology changes, people do not.
"Happy Talk" and the "Power of Positivity" will do nothing to change this reality. Competitive blockchains will soon become operational and an exodus of people with a modicum of intelligence will spell the end of the charade.
It's too bad because the underlying idea of Steemit is brilliant. But history is adamant in its insistence that corrupt systems do not survive, they destroy themselves. In all of human history, there has NEVER been a single exception to this rule. Steemit WILL NOT be the first.
Quill
Try to see it as Steem, not Steemit as that is just one facet of the ecosystem and not a very important one the further forward we go. And again, this article was not Steem specific, it is how I see the entire world changing going forward.
People spend much too much time looking at how to improve Steemit without looking at what possibilities are available through SMTs and oracles. Even though the stake could earn on the RCs for user bandwidth, it is possible that the SMT itself is earned in ways that are not stake related at all as they can change requirements as they choose. Through this, the problems of Steem and stake are much less of an issue for new users going into a tokenized platform.
Have you worked out what kind of SMT you could run that would negate the issues of Steem and will it attract users to it? If so, it is worth getting some devs together and creating it as the Steem blockchain still transfers regardless if people post here or not.
But again, this post is about talent as a commodity and in a continually automating world that encourages passivity, those with usable talents are going to be scarce and valuable.
Very inspiring and thoughtful post as it leads one to think about their skill and how to best utilize in the coming evolution of not only Steem, but the financial system of the world. Many believe that talent can be bought and while it may be right the fact is that loyalty cannot as there will always be more value there. This could lead to more shifts in behavior as the world evolves to a more decentralized systems due to the technology in development. I am still unsure where I would be most useful but I feel that I have found a place that could help me find a place...
Talent can be bought but like you say, loyalty is expensive. If there are less people able to complete tasks, costs to buy skill goes up. In some of the companies I work for I can already see it. One for example has trouble finding young welders ( there aren't any) so they have to pay older welders more to not retire. They predict that 10 years from now they are going to be paying significantly more for welders and in their field, robots can only currently do a narrow portion of the work. Young people don't want to do manual labour though.
Yep, more people should take advantage of the resource.
So gorgeous and nice
you are pretty
At the end you mention the quality-of-life factor. This brings to mind Maslow's hierarchy of needs: physiological, safety, belonging and love, esteem, and self-actualization from bottom to top. At the bottom of this pyramid are the more physical factors, at the top the more sublime. Someone continuously concerned with feeding his family will have no interest in spiritual evolution for himself or others.
Someone whose Steem life is devoted to the upper part of the pyramid (I work in the self-actualization space) will have a far harder time reaching a responsive audience than someone who blogs about food, for example.