Crypto Contest September 7: Status Report XX
In this report I will look how my analysis worked for the month of July 2018. There were 31 contests in July. I have already paid out all of them. The analysis was correct zero times. The analysis was wrong 20 times. The cryptocurrency was in a range 11 times.
The correct ones were the following:
N/A
In these contests the range option won:
In these contests the analysis was wrong:
How did the previous months' analysis go?
From April 1, 2017 to July 31, 2018, the analysis has been correct 120 times, wrong 96 times, and the cryptocurrency has been in a range 259 times.
How did the voters do in July 2018?
The voters (the most qualified votes (group or consensus)) were right 11 out of 31 times. So one could say that the crowd was right 35% of time.
Here is the list of contests that the most qualified votes (crowd) won:
How did the voters do earlier this year?
Here is a table of crowd's accuracy since February.
Looks like July was the most difficult month since February.
Conclusion
Congratulations to the winners!
How about next month (August 2018)?
If you think my analysis is correct more times than wrong or range, upvote this post (min $0.01) and upvote the comment (min $0.01) "The analysis is right most of the time in the August 2018 contests".
If you think my analysis is wrong more times than right or range, upvote this post (min $0.01) and upvote the comment (min $0.01) "The analysis is wrong most of the time in the August 2018 contests".
If you think the cryptocurrencies are in the range more often than right or wrong, upvote this post (min $0.01) and upvote the comment (min $0.01) "The cryptocurrencies are in the range most of the time in the August 2018 contests".
You can upvote the comment until 3 PM EST September 10 and you can upvote only one comment. 50% of SBD from this post will be distributed equally to the winners.
Bonus 1
I will be sending one Trophy Token (@trophy-token) to everyone who manages to get these crypto contests right seven times in a row. If/when you accomplish this, please contact me at Steemit Chat with your BitShares address.
Bonus 2
Upvote the right comment and the main post with at least $0.10 and you will get 3 x the winning prize.
The analysis is wrong most of the time in the August 2018 contests (14 voters as of 3 PM EST September 10: bleujay, bentleycapital, vicspics, jznsamuel, ace108, milano1113, simonjay, reconnectnature, amity123, marverick984, mike11, galasek, rothberg, catchup).
The cryptocurrencies are in the range most of the time in the August 2018 contests (13 voters as of 3 PM EST September 10: toofasteddie, barbadosso, kunschj, pario, steem-d-anlovnit, techlife, fullcoverbetting, lucasgabd, punjolife, chotho, mitrado, sporttr).
say range, baby, not the biggest moment for alts.
You won. Paid out from @maarnio1
The analysis is right most of the time in the August 2018 contests (2 voters as of 3 PM EST September 10: skepticology, biomanu).
I missclicked @maarnio, is there any chance you could consider my entry being "The analysis is wrong most of the time in the August 2018 contests."
Just unvote and then upvote the right comment.
Ok, thank you!
Indeed difficult times these last months.
Thanks for keeping running the best crypto contest
Thank you for not giving up Eddie.
giving up? are you joking ;-)?
Damn, already another month passed by... time really flies.
We are watching BTC holding $6400 really well, everytime it comes down it stays around that price. But all the other coins are suffering much more and breaking lows after lows. So it gets hard to find out a good strategy to make the right prediction, for such a low amount of time.
Hi @maarnio!
Your post was upvoted by @steem-ua, new Steem dApp, using UserAuthority for algorithmic post curation!
Your UA account score is currently 4.866 which ranks you at #1178 across all Steem accounts.
Your rank has dropped 2 places in the last three days (old rank 1176).
In our last Algorithmic Curation Round, consisting of 325 contributions, your post is ranked at #90.
Evaluation of your UA score:
Feel free to join our @steem-ua Discord server