I think it's mostly dependent on the Seg Wit action personally, and the miners seem to be holding out until the last second (as I would've guessed). Dig the post and gave you a follow.

Also - I just published "Welcome to the F*cking Show: Bitcoin and Your Future With Money" on Amazon. I think it's the book that will provide the ultimate cutting of the crypto learning curve for new ppl in the space, so if you have any friends trying to break into the crypto game feel free to tell them to check it out. Cheers to BTC!