Is Crypto Pumping? What Are The Risks?

in #cryptocurrency3 years ago (edited)

Where should we put our crypto to stay safe? How can we maximize returns?

Enjoy The Show

Tim Draper says this is possibly the greatest age in the history of the world.
It's global and decentralized and it's completely transforming the world.
How can we make a change? Angel investors have made the most money when they find an entrepreneur that enters a large industry run by an oligopoly that provides bad service at a high cost.
I'm bullish for this reason.

It's also important to consider fat tail risks.
When we consider risk on a normal distribution bell curve we fail to account for risks that are 3+ standard deviations from the mean. We become very poor at judging the possibility of these types of events happening.

What could happen with crypto and how should we be prepared?
I look at the emotions that played into the 1929 stock market crash. We can see some of those same emotions come into play when the crypto market pumps. Human emotion doesn't change, but the vehicle used to move it changes.

When the market starts to pump you feel the hype start to build. It's beautiful, but it's important to pay attention to the emotions of the market. Let's stay ahead of the crowd.

Right now there are almost 1600 coins. How many do you believe will survive? 100? that would mean that 19 out of 20 coins will fail. If we have a big shakeout, how do we prepare for that?
Crypto Pump Risk Reward.png
I play a video of the Nasdaq crash during the dot-com crash. The market lost 78% of value. failed, but Amazon survived. Why?

Amazon had raised $600 million so they had a rainy day fund. Plus they had a great leader and a product. They kept their head above water and ended up a big winner.

What are the cryptos that you would choose if 19 out of 20 failed?
Which have the tools in place to be Amazon?
Who has money? Who has a product? Who has leadership?
Steem, EOS, ETH, BTC, BCH etc.
You need to decide. Think where do you want to put your money. What coins have the infrastructure in place to survive if the market crumbles?

I've shifted a majority of my portfolio into coins with a use case.
I'm still playing with ICOs and altcoins for high returns, but it's not my main focus.
We have enough fat tail risk and reward in crypto. We don't need to leverage into even more risk.
Just my opinion. Not a financial advisor.

ICOs are starting to be harder to get good deals. Be careful you aren't buying during the main sale.
It's my opinion that you need to be in friends and family round or a private investment round for ICOs now to be worth it.... or you may end up a bag holder for the earlier investors when you coin hits the market. Pick one of the 1500 coins already on the market and you probably have close to the same opportunity as you do with an ICO.

There is plenty more to hear and see in this vid. This is a general recap for people who like to read.

Cheers my Steem Friends. Much Love to you
Bottom Rocker. Me and Ned.jpg


Crypto is still in its infancy, and the money that has entered in the last few months would blow your mind.

It truly​ won't be long where most shitcoins are turned to dust and the "value" they pulled from BTC will be returned.

I currently hold a Mix or Platform and Dex coins as its pretty clear they will lead the charge.

Steem has far more "value" than bitcoin. Gold was traditionally a store of value simply because it had no other use... and was scarce. Follow the use cases.

This is far more like the adoption of cars over horses. There is no going back to centralization... as long as your crypto is working for you then you'll be just fine.

Steem is centralized though, the 'devs' own over half of it.

Mostly in the form of upvote bots and delegated stake to encourage more growth. In this case the chicken comes after the egg; there is no doubt the platforms like dlive, dsound, and vanilla steemit aren't orders of magnitude more beneficial for the average user who up until now had to subject themselves to data collection, poor clickbait content, and ads in general. Without even the possibility of monetization might I add.

yeh bitcoin tends to draw its power from the shit coins

I am HODLing to Steem and EOS for sure :) Prices may dump again but I believe in the future values of these coins. ICOs are definitely high risk and high return. Yet I had no success in getting a high return yet (sobs).

Same here ( even when prices dumped lately I was waiting to get down more as not much cash to use so need prices to dump more so to buy more Steem and eos ... finally prices getting up again) (sobs) 😢

No guarantees in crypto ... only oppoprtunities ^^

Me too, especialy Steem, i expect (and this is not a financial advice) that 1 Steem after 10 years worth 1000 USD. That is a market cap of +/- 270 billion USD, which is achievable. Look for example to Ethereum, 2 January 2017 1 ETH worth 8 USD, 15 January 2018 1 ETH worth 1390 USD. So that was only 1 year and 2 weeks for Ethereum. So if i say after 10 years 1 STEEM could worth 1000 USD, yes it could. Why not?!

While I've not carefully read STEEM inflation rates compared to adoption rates, I'm quite sceptical of STEEM reaching 1000 USD. I'm not saying it's not possible, but there are a few key points to consider:

1 Why don't I buy STEEM myself? Because I can basically get it for free by just writing posts. Now of course that's no easy task. Most posts get next to nothing in return, but at the same time, I believe people will be hesitant to buy something which can theoretically be obtained almost for free and which is constantly being produced.

2 While investors and optimistic users currently keep the prices up, the actual investor-independent value of STEEM is based on influence. Influencers can buy STEEM to get more exposure on their writing, advertising, news... This exposure will only be worth something if Steemit consists of both consumers and producers. I see a tendency these days that people just write, but don't read. They leave the upvoting to curation trails and bots. A million user content network is worth nothing if people don't consume its produced content. I find a lot of value in the Steemit community myself, but I'm not sure outside influencers will see it the same way. Unless you actively engage in the community, Steemit isn't really a very good place to go to just have a good read.

But then again there are other factors like Steem's superior performance, SMTs... which makes me optimistic. It will be exciting to see;)

The most people (especialy wealthy people) don't have the time and the patience to earn some Steems just because it's for Free. If they believe in the project as an investment opportunity and they see the benefits, than they will invest in it. And the people who like to earn some Steems for Free, they will leave Facebook and that kind of outdated Social Media and move to Steemit. And of course, nobody knows what will happen in the future, but I still think that Steem will be a huge Social Media platform, it's only a matter of time. Let's say, we hope! :)

Dont forget steem goes through decimation every about 3.5 years to limit the available supply and keep its value.
I think when considering the value which a coin can obtain you have to consider its supply limit I can't see coins with an ucapped supply limit or very high ones reaching extreamly high values per unit like doge or bcn or steem scarcity is a measure of value gold wouldn't have its value if you could easily find large amounts just lying around the place

tôi cũng nghĩ rằng rủi ro cao, lợi nhuận sẽ tăng lên
và tôi chờ đợi giá tăng

Here is my update on EOS ! Follow me for regular TA on all your favourite crypto pairings (if something is missing feel free to ask and I will do it!) -

I feel more positive about 10K BTC price in a week after last few hours dump

That’s very easy to achieve .. I am looking at BTC to 20k by June and 50 k by the end of 2018

Though no guarantees in crypto , huh 😀

FXTM is offering its traders the possibility to profit, by taking advantage of cryptocurrency price movements in the forex market.

Please make the virtual virtual objects, only can be BTC

it is so risky investing into ICO, especially we didn't know what it is, it's like you wanna eat an unknown fish, that fish might have a poison that could kill you, so it is better to research that kind of fish before eating it. The same on investing ICO we have to know what they are, do they have an active community, you can find them from GITHUB whether they are actively developing their platform if it's an open source, Do they have an active and reliable team?....

hodl is a safe strategy to avoid pump & dump :)

True, but most people want quick money....

I would have to agree with your idea of checking out who created each coin. Thanks for the post. I'll give you a quick follow!

You got a 5.68% upvote from @emperorofnaps courtesy of @hopefulhippie!

Want to promote your posts too? Send 0.05+ SBD or STEEM to @emperorofnaps to receive a share of a full upvote every 2.4 hours...Then go relax and take a nap!

I believe Steem and Golem are two coins that will be around and have value. Steem has the best working and actively used blockchain and is just in its infancy stage, it has a first mover advantage as far as smart media token is concerned. Golem has solved a huge cloud computing issue and is already live with its Brass Golem project, just like Amazon had a rainy day fund, Golem (GNT) has half a billion in fiat to continue to fund the project. Just my 2 satoshis. Cheers.

Do a blog post about it.

Risks super high, catch the wave and run away, this is the rule :)

bitcoin need to go over 12k to be 99.99% bull market

Thanks for this informational post.

Crypto isn't safe, but it's safer than fiat!!

We need to go over 12k to be sure we are in a bull

Fiat is ready for collapse. Buy more crypto.

Great video. Very informative. I liked those video clips as well. I'm not sure if you can do Bitcoin puts in the USA.

I am still down 80 percent on all my investments - 100 percent when it comes to bccx, I bought in at the height in December for 40k. lol . So there is nothing much for me to do but HODL for a decade or two. I am going down with the ship

good luck bud. I don't think it will take a decade to get back. You're still early. Really early

I hope so, I was an idiot and sold all my belongings, maxed out my credit cards and emptied my savings to buy crypto. I remember I was going to do the same in December 2016. I was going to buy 20k in ether @10/unit but decided to renovate my basement instead. Now the house has been foreclosed on because the market tanked and my crypto portfolio looks like crap.

Nevertheless, thanks for the kinds words!

Wait till December 2019, at least at this point it will have more than twice the height of December 2017.

I agree completely that 1600 coins are far too many and we need a shake out with significant consolidation. The issue is, this is nothing like stock pump and dumps. Stocks are part of companies that can go bust. Crypto coins can go to zero but won’t fail unless every single miner (in POW) ceases to mine the chain. Prices are based on pure speculation, so it’s difficult to see what’s reasonable. The last drop was over 60% yet nothing really failed, all coins are now generally moving back up and if the crypto space rockets, it looks like all coins will go up! Until the space is more mature and projects traded on their actual merits, this is likely to continue!

yea, the no fail aspect is really interesting.

Hi @happymoneyman, what do you think about Waves Dex platform? Most of Ico are making belong to Ethereum, but i made my coins in Waves and now i would like to sell them in a pre-Ico, do you think Waves is right place to develop my coins?

Really digging the fact you put like short summary in the post as well, sometimes I like reading more than watching a vid, especially when I'm on the go. Missing the homestead videos though :(

yea the constant balance im striking. I may go away from homestead posting for a bit... just so i can focus on enjoying the moment when im outside.
who knows. it seems i change my strategy each week

Your post is always different i follow your blog everytime,your post is so helpful.I always inspire of your post on my steem work.Thank you for sharing @happymoneyman and follow me

currently, there is no back up plan. who will take the responsibility

Anything which is new and tries to change the present setup or the system in one way bringing new revolution we will find many opposition but the best part is to stick to it. In the era of artificial intelligence only people with intelligence will succeed and the coin with better technical setup will perform better

That’s very easy to achieve

we may see another several months long pump coming if the market breaks the next two resistance levels. I think this year will take us back to 20k by december

Sure there is huge risk in crypto puming and dumping.

100% agree with you, I have been saying this since dec 2017. if you like at masternode coin except DASH and PIVIX, I dont see a use case. Its all get rich quick scheme

the pump and dump show of btc is back : )

you are right.I have same opinion with you

thats right blazing

I am with you on the special use case coins/tokens.
Most really aren't a coin, they are an industry revolutionizer.
And the only way they will fail is if someone comes up with a better revolutionizer.
They are just that much better than what we got.

That's a good take. One of them will revolutionize everything. it's all about riding the wave


I'm almost entirely out of BTC and LTC. No where to go but down. I will HODL my EOS, XRP, and Steem, but that's about it.

Solid idea. I'm close to the same

I am ready to buy more

crypto pumping not is part and parcel of crypto.

There may be few risks involved but talking about the positive side of it is that future is crypto. Moreover people need to teach and train themselves regarding Blockchain and embrace the fact that technology has evolved.

I am wonder what caused the recent pump on the market?

For those who believe on their cryptos long term:

No risk :D only more joy :D

I've always seen ICO's as too much of a risk.
Just buy 100$ of the top 11-20 in market cap.
Hold it like hell, and the profit is pretty easy.
For less risk, less gain, got with the top 5-15.

And hold a little btc of course, it's always going to be ok.

Great content and informative! @happymoneyman ~ Happily tweeted your post for you on Twitter as an active member of the #Project-Atlas Team to help create more #Steemit awareness on Twitter ☆☆☆ 👍

dear @happymoneyman
well post ,I would have to agree with your idea,,thanks for sharing

Great post. Very informative. I agree...crypto is changing the world. Certainly one of the best financial opportunities to come along since the industrial revolution.

Well to be perfectly honest, in my humble opinion, of course without offending. anyone who thinks differently from my point of view, but also by looking into this matter in a different perspective and without being condemning of one's view's and by trying to make it objectified, and by considering each and every one's valid opinion, I honestly believe that I completely forgot what I was going to say.

I really enjoyed this video. I found myself getting hyped up, given the change in sentiment of the market, and was about to FOMO buy some coins, but this video reminded me to do my due diligence, and invest in coins for the long term, so that when the bull market is over, I don't look at my portfolio, confused as to all the crazy ICO's that the hype made me buy into. Thanks for reminding me to hold positions of coins of value, that have been tried and tested! Keep HODLING! And keep up these videos. You've got yourself a new follower :)

hy go to aceh call me ok @ulhamdi

I’m holding powh3d and now Pooh. Extremely transparent smart contracts. Don’t miss out

Coins mentioned in post:

CoinPrice (USD)📉 24h📈 7d
BCHBitcoin Cash1314.990$-14.71%67.06%

tôi nghĩ thời gian tới bitcoin sẽ tăng lên trên 11.000 usd

I think the risk in crypto puming and dumping is the same. It can always change anytime unless the traders and investors stop trading.

Great Article.
but in my opinion risk of crypto pumping and dumping is both same.There values usually changes unless when trading is being stopped by investers and traders.
Appreciated work will soon visit your blog again THANKS

I myself researched . And here are some of crypto currencies I would be betting on. Bitcoin,bitcoin gold, bch,steem, Dogecoin, Litecoin, dash, ether, ripple, peercoin etc.

** please suggest some other good crypto currencies to me. **

Great article and very informative, thanks for sharing. I've smashed the upvote button for you!

If you are looking to get hold of some crypto without investing or mining, look into They are a co-creation platform were you get rewarded for giving feedback to crypto startups on the platform. You can earn Crowdholding's token as well as DeepOnion, ITT, Smartcash and many other ERC-20 tokens.

Liệu giá DASH có “trở lại và lợi hại hơn xưa”?
Thị trường tiền mã hóa đã tăng trưởng trở lại, và hầu hết các đồng tiền mã hóa đã bắt kịp đà phát triển, Bitcoin đã vượt mức $9.200. DASH cũng không bỏ lỡ “xu hướng”, sau khi chạm đáy $400, hiện tại nó đang giao dịch quanh mức $520. Giờ đây câu hỏi trong đầu của mọi người là, giá DASH có thể quay lại thời kỳ đỉnh cao vào tháng 12, khi được giao dịch ở mức trên $1.500?
Vâng, nếu tất cả mọi thứ tiếp tục trong quỹ đạo hiện tại thì chúng ta hoàn toàn có lý do chính đáng để tin rằng dự đoán này sẽ xảy ra. Đầu tiên, Dash là một trong những đồng tiền mã hóa nổi tiếng nhất trên thị trường. Lý do tại sao DASH bị mất rất nhiều giá trị là do việc “gấu” liên tục tấn công thị trường tiền mã hóa vào quý 1 năm 2018. Bây giờ “bò” đã quay trở lại đường đua, các nhà đầu tư sẽ tìm cách thâm nhập vào các đồng tiền mã hóa mạnh nhưng đang bị đánh giá thấp, tính theo định giá vào năm ngoái.

Áp lực mua này sẽ đóng một vai trò quan trọng trong việc đẩy giá DASH trở lại mức $1.000. Một điều tương tự đang xảy ra với Bitcoin Cash. Trước khi kết thúc chu kỳ giảm, Bitcoin Cash được giao dịch dưới $700. Bây giờ thị trường đã quay trở lại, mọi người đang gấp rút mua vào, với dự đoán BCH có thể quay trở lại hơn $3.000. Sức mua này đã đẩy giá của nó lên mức giá hiện tại là trên $1.400.

Trên top đầu của toàn thị trường, DASH có thể được nâng lên một tầm cao mới nhờ phát hành Dash Evolution sắp tới. Mặc dù nó đã bị trì hoãn một thời gian, nhưng có nhiều dấu hiệu tốt cho thấy nó sẽ được tung ra trong tương lai gần. Điều này đảm bảo sẽ tăng nhu cầu sử dụng Dash đáng kể, bởi vì nó được thiết kế để làm cho Dash hoạt động hiệu quả hơn. Đó là bởi vì Dash Evolution cũng có vai trò tương tự như SegWit hay Lightning Network. Điều này sẽ thúc đẩy giao dịch Dash nhanh hơn và rẻ hơn và khiến Dash dễ được chấp thuận hơn. DASH đã là một trong những đồng tiền mã hóa tốt nhất trên mặt trận này. Như vậy, Dash Evolution đang làm cho dự án trở nên tốt đẹp hơn, điều đó tốt cho sự tăng trưởng giá trị lâu dài của nó.

Một yếu tố khác sẽ đóng vai trò thúc đẩy Dash chạm đỉnh là bởi vì nó đã được nhìn nhận ở một mức độ ổn định ngay cả trong thời kỳ suy thoái của crypto gần đây. Trong thời gian đó, Dash đã được thêm vào Abra, một nền tảng hoạt động như một ngân hàng trực tuyến, nơi các nhà đầu tư có thể sử dụng crypto của họ. Trong cùng thời gian đó, Dash cũng được thêm vào Bitit và Negocie. Đó là một dấu hiệu tốt cho thấy Dash có những gì nó cần để được chấp thuận như một loại tiền tệ có thể sử dụng được, và điều đó cũng tốt cho sự tăng trưởng giá trị lâu dài của nó.

Sự kết hợp của các yếu tố này là một chỉ báo tốt cho tiềm năng trung hạn của Dash. Ngay cả từ quan điểm phân tích kỹ thuật, tất cả các chỉ báo từ mức trung bình động đến các chỉ báo kỹ thuật khác đều cho thấy đồng coin này sẽ tăng giá. Nếu thị trường hoạt động tốt hơn năm ngoái thì giá Dash có thể dễ dàng đạt hơn $2.000 vào cuối năm 2018.

tôi nghĩ tôi có niềm tin vào thị trường này trong tương lai

mọi người có thể cho nhận xét

steem all the way.. willing to take my chances

@happymoneyman you are right.... When we think to hold our currency we mostly try to find out an legit wallet... But sometimes we shouldn't found it.. As a result we lost our currency... Else when market is down we also lose our profit.. I think steem is a better for hold... It become 100$ in a year..

#ETC Hardfork coming!!!!!!
31 may 2018 or Earlier!!!!
#Buy#Buy#Buy it. To make 2x profit.
@eth_classic Screenshot_2018-04-24-20-58-18.png

Glad to see some sensible comments but not much material to chew on, but let's focus on being meaningful and mindful to what we do and what we say.....FREEDOM is a great GIFT and use it wisely and thoughtfully

It is very obvious a lot of coins will pass onto oblivion. And like you said, 19 out of 20 would fail. This got me bothered though I do not hold much portfolio other than Steem and EOS.
Your post is very helpful.


even the Top CEOs at Davos agreed that a purpose and even a sort of social value needs to get applied to a company, brand, or idea.

If they dont have that, its likely they get washed away.

I thnik Bitcoin will reach $30 000 by the end of 2019.

I think steem coin and storm coin will do very well in April 2018

Las monedas virtuales cada vez toman mas fuerza y el steem no se queda atras, va creciendo poco a poco.

An upvote to the happy crypto man30656194_1703788913071436_7532089781992292352_n.jpg

I think the coins we get should really have some usefulness, in my portfolio i believe those are BTC, ETH, PKT

You have a good blog, I followed you. I hope that you follow me, let's develop Steemit together and develop even…

I really helpful thanks

You have a good blog, I followed you. I hope that you follow me, let's develop Steemit together and develop even…

I don't think to try about risky things in terms of investment like pump and dump. I take the part of investing in the hot prospect for the future cryptocurrencies and following this investments for a long time.

ICO no, but Top 100 Cryptos yes. The future will show how much profit you can make or what you can lose, but the majority of investors see the future and I think, the big ones are today to big to fail completly.

@happymoneyman - Sir this is a valuable content... I'm holding few coins & I think the major trend is not yet begins Sir...


post is very smart

Upvote for you

This is all gamble but in a modest way. I hold the best crypto based on the real project.

what a post which is most informative . keep up this good work and share with us.

Thanks for giving the information. Lots I can learn here.

Risk is everywhere. During Pump and during Dump too.

it's really helpful article, i learn , thnaks.@happymoneyman

Its best for everyone to sell what they have, I just bought in.

Thank you. Helpful opinions for us newbies!! I agree with you about ICOs....My husband and I used our $1200 ETH to buy into an ICO, just for the price of ETH to tumble....painful lessons. You are so right about the emotions of investing in Cryptos, too. I just wrote a Steemit article titled: "FUD, FUD and More FUD!" about the 'herd mentality' that can poison us all, when we let emotions rule. Feel free to check it out. Thanks.

there are big spread becouse the market of cryptocurrency is npt big like a " normal market"

Good article.
Nobody can predict about the market, crypto is the future but the real problem is how to trade .
Here can be a solution a free info to watch:

Great post, especially the part about EOS.

The Crypto market is very risky. and have the courage to invest. It was a beautiful article. thank you for the information.

it,s good,thanks to share us

You know what I did? I just sold all the scrips I had in the local share market and loaded myself with almost $10,000 in cash.
You know what I'm gonna do now? haha..waiting for the next dump :P

Best you can do.

Don`t Miss this: NEXT-DASH

A very useful post for me and for my friends in Indonesia is becoming a learning that is very meaningful to play a role in the world in gital today I am playing a global competition for today's great santat both the currency of Steem, EOS, ETH, BTC , BCH etc. but I as a new beginner to know the world of Cryptoccureny can take a tremendous meaning from this post @happymoneyman.

we realize from day to day more and more big companies are doing their part in the Crypto world but this should be a very important way to save it. By melian where the direction of competition is more profitable and not to be a boomerang for yourself later.

Thanks @happymoneyman hopefully we can menag in the global marketing competition today

bravo !!!

we win together

EOS, TRX, NEO, NEN, qtum, are great alt coins for invest.

What are the factors? Tech development, team, competition: impossible to predict. But if the project is sound, and working product looking good, then it can always improve on past ones. Of course it's risky, but think long-term. IOTA !

wow great job man!

WELL said happymoneyman i started in investing in cryto when im 25 yrs first imprison in bitcoin is scam thats at first i didnt invest..i strted to search first some website and blog ..i found out bitcoin is not scam but the people manipulating and take advantage of others they the scam.i see great future in crytoworld thats why im still investing and trading.

i appresiate you

No use running around, trying every harry,dick and tom that comes by. hold on to one or two or if you are greedy three, master it's ups and down and you will do just fine.

Love trading? The best app for this is
Any questions? Telegram support: @icoincourse (

I agree with skipping the ICOs. My portfolio is up overall even after the horrid first quarter, except for my ICO purchases. And I came in during the height of the market in Dec.

I think the best buy for most investors is coins already on at least one exchange (that isn't ether delta).

ICO were crazy last year. I agree. I wouldn't expect that type of ICO run again. Now it's a question of finding where the next gains will be. Thanks for your comment. Cheers

Nice @happymoneyman! I'm the opposite of a crypto expert so the info is greatly appreciated. Learning... Thank you!

You are a goddamn life expert scott. haha. who cares about the crypto.

dude, I had so much fun watching you hike around the rocks and take pics. Super inspiring man.

Haha! As are you @happymoneyman. I'll try to get more vids like that when I go out shooting. Cheers!

Wooowww amazing !!

very good article bro Parker helps us understand better
Thanq and keep up the good research

Totally agree with this post...Help and support each other and the world as a whole--a better place...
creative job @happymoneyman, thank you for sharing.

It's pumping.i am holding steem and steem dollar.

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