Bitcoin Analysis and Trading Idea

in #cryptocurrency8 years ago (edited)

#MarketAlert (Last 24h):
Top 100 price change: -7.3% (avg)
93 of the top 100 coins declining
@bitcoin: -3.2% $BTC

It is August 30th, 2018! BTC dominance is currently at 53.5% (+0.7%). Total market cap is currently at $223.5 billion (- $8 billion). The volume of last 24h was $13 billion (- $0.4 billion).

Bitcoin price drop caused drop in entire crypto market! Bitcoin dominance raised 0.7% in last 24h what means that BTC drop caused more fear in altcoin market than in BTC market!

:heart_eyes: Fundamental analysis

Yahoo Finance Integrates Bitcoin, Ethereum and Litecoin Trading
https://cointelegraph.com/news/yahoo-finance-integrates-bitcoin-ethereum-and-litecoin-trading

Report: EU to Discuss Further Crypto Regulation Amid Concerns About Lack of Transparency
https://cointelegraph.com/news/report-eu-to-discuss-further-crypto-regulation-amid-concerns-about-lack-of-transparency

The fundamental of the crypto market at the moment is very neutral! We have a lot of bullish and bearish news but nothing too big to cause change in the price trend! Yesterday's drop was caused by technical not fundamental reasons! Most of that drop was made by auto-trading!

What I want you to keep in mind is SEC decision about 9 ETF applications! They did this on purpose! Now, we do not know anything about that! New decision can be published anytime and probably it will cause the price to go up or down! Less we know, better and easier for them to manipulate the market!

I personally do not see any reason why would SEC change decision about these 9 applications! I think we need more serious application in order to expect approval! So, probably they are waiting to see how high price can go to dump it with new article that is probably going to be negative!

Technical Analysis

Daily chart :

Yesterday's daily candle closed very bearish so this drop was expected! Now, this candle looks very bearish but we have more than 12 hours before close of this candle so this could be bear trao easily and few hours before close small pump of $50-100 can change the meaning of this candle a lot. That's why we are trying to find out the direction of the upcoming move on lower time frames!

4h chart :

On this chart I marked 4 very important areas!

The blue area at the bottom is area that should hold out if bulls want to see uptrend! closing below this area will be very bearish sign!

The green area is the area of intereste! We saw a lot of action in this area and this could be potentially great long entry area!

The red area is current resistance! That area was resistance in the past and so far it is holding price below!

The upper green area is potential long target! I do not think we will go above this area in near future! Big things should happen if we want to break this area!

Hourly chart :


This is the time frame we are using for our decision to enter the trade or not! At the moment it is testing potential long area but I will think to long only if we break red area! Until we are below red area I will think more about shorts! Long will come in play after we break red area! Then I will wait for pullback and if pullback show bullish signs, I will jump into long position!

So, these moves are still considered as scalps and we are waiting for swing entry! Once we find great entry for swing, I will share with you guys if you are interested to know more : ! Stay tuned!

Bitcoin stop loss should be placed under 6600 dollars.

Altcoins are still fine to hold for now.

Bitcoin also is a good hold besides this drop. Looks bullish in 1 hr and tomorrow Futures will expire and we might get a boost.:v::v:

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